Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month rise—matching consensus but with core prices advancing 0.3% versus 0.2% expected—has anchored trader focus on September's print amid elevated energy costs from Middle East supply shocks. Gasoline prices surged nearly 4% in August, lifting the headline rate to 3.4% year-over-year and pushing one-year inflation expectations higher in consumer surveys. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.4% and 0.6% because ongoing fuel volatility and potential spillovers to services compete with signs of shelter moderation and the Federal Reserve's upcoming September policy decision, which futures now price with an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. These factors create a narrow band where small deviations in energy or core components could shift resolution probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado0,6% 27%
0,5% 25%
0,4% 16%
0,7% 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 oct 2026
≤0,0%
4%
0,1%
5%
0,2%
9%
0,3%
19%
0,4%
16%
0,5%
25%
0,6%
27%
0,7%
13%
≥0,8%
11%
0,6% 27%
0,5% 25%
0,4% 16%
0,7% 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 oct 2026
≤0,0%
$117 Vol.
4%
0,1%
$110 Vol.
5%
0,2%
$149 Vol.
9%
0,3%
$150 Vol.
19%
0,4%
$310 Vol.
16%
0,5%
$557 Vol.
25%
0,6%
$149 Vol.
27%
0,7%
$130 Vol.
13%
≥0,8%
$506 Vol.
11%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month rise—matching consensus but with core prices advancing 0.3% versus 0.2% expected—has anchored trader focus on September's print amid elevated energy costs from Middle East supply shocks. Gasoline prices surged nearly 4% in August, lifting the headline rate to 3.4% year-over-year and pushing one-year inflation expectations higher in consumer surveys. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.4% and 0.6% because ongoing fuel volatility and potential spillovers to services compete with signs of shelter moderation and the Federal Reserve's upcoming September policy decision, which futures now price with an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. These factors create a narrow band where small deviations in energy or core components could shift resolution probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,175Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month rise—matching consensus but with core prices advancing 0.3% versus 0.2% expected—has anchored trader focus on September's print amid elevated energy costs from Middle East supply shocks. Gasoline prices surged nearly 4% in August, lifting the headline rate to 3.4% year-over-year and pushing one-year inflation expectations higher in consumer surveys. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.4% and 0.6% because ongoing fuel volatility and potential spillovers to services compete with signs of shelter moderation and the Federal Reserve's upcoming September policy decision, which futures now price with an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. These factors create a narrow band where small deviations in energy or core components could shift resolution probabilities.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$2,175Fecha de finalización
15 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month rise—matching consensus but with core prices advancing 0.3% versus 0.2% expected—has anchored trader focus on September's print amid elevated energy costs from Middle East supply shocks. Gasoline prices surged nearly 4% in August, lifting the headline rate to 3.4% year-over-year and pushing one-year inflation expectations higher in consumer surveys. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 0.4% and 0.6% because ongoing fuel volatility and potential spillovers to services compete with signs of shelter moderation and the Federal Reserve's upcoming September policy decision, which futures now price with an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. These factors create a narrow band where small deviations in energy or core components could shift resolution probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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