**Recent polling for Sergipe’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with high undecided shares (often 15-25%) and several candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens.** Rogério Carvalho (PT) maintains a measurable base as the incumbent seeking reelection, supporting his elevated 39% implied probability for second place, while André Moura (União), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and others trade closely behind in surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, IFP, and CTAS. Voter selection of two names, ongoing alliance negotiations, and the short window until the October 4 vote keep separation limited. Late campaign developments such as television airtime allocation, regional turnout shifts, or further consolidation around frontrunners could alter second-place ordering before ballots close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRogerio Carvalho 39%
Delegado André David 26.4%
André Moura 21%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$30,698 Vol.
$30,698 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
39%
Delegado André David
18%
André Moura
21%
Eduardo Amorim
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
3%
Edvaldo
1%
Delegado Alessandro
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Rogerio Carvalho 39%
Delegado André David 26.4%
André Moura 21%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$30,698 Vol.
$30,698 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
$7,839 Vol.
39%
Delegado André David
$4,339 Vol.
18%
André Moura
$5,546 Vol.
21%
Eduardo Amorim
$3,107 Vol.
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
$1,738 Vol.
3%
Edvaldo
$1,291 Vol.
1%
Delegado Alessandro
$2,103 Vol.
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$1,114 Vol.
<1%
Renatinha
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$776 Vol.
<1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling for Sergipe’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with high undecided shares (often 15-25%) and several candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens.** Rogério Carvalho (PT) maintains a measurable base as the incumbent seeking reelection, supporting his elevated 39% implied probability for second place, while André Moura (União), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and others trade closely behind in surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, IFP, and CTAS. Voter selection of two names, ongoing alliance negotiations, and the short window until the October 4 vote keep separation limited. Late campaign developments such as television airtime allocation, regional turnout shifts, or further consolidation around frontrunners could alter second-place ordering before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volumen
$30,698Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling for Sergipe’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with high undecided shares (often 15-25%) and several candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens.** Rogério Carvalho (PT) maintains a measurable base as the incumbent seeking reelection, supporting his elevated 39% implied probability for second place, while André Moura (União), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and others trade closely behind in surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, IFP, and CTAS. Voter selection of two names, ongoing alliance negotiations, and the short window until the October 4 vote keep separation limited. Late campaign developments such as television airtime allocation, regional turnout shifts, or further consolidation around frontrunners could alter second-place ordering before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$30,698Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling for Sergipe’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field with high undecided shares (often 15-25%) and several candidates clustered in the low-to-mid teens.** Rogério Carvalho (PT) maintains a measurable base as the incumbent seeking reelection, supporting his elevated 39% implied probability for second place, while André Moura (União), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), and others trade closely behind in surveys from Quaest, Real Time Big Data, IFP, and CTAS. Voter selection of two names, ongoing alliance negotiations, and the short window until the October 4 vote keep separation limited. Late campaign developments such as television airtime allocation, regional turnout shifts, or further consolidation around frontrunners could alter second-place ordering before ballots close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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