Trever Nehls holds a commanding position in the Texas 22nd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s roughly 20-point margin there in 2024 and a Cook PVI of R+9. The open seat created by incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement has not altered the structural outlook, as Trever Nehls—his twin brother and a former Fort Bend County constable—secured the Republican nomination with strong primary support and endorsements from Trump and U.S. Senator Ted Cruz. The district, spanning suburban areas of Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties, has not elected a Democrat since 2012. Marquette Greene-Scott, the Democratic nominee, faces these entrenched partisan patterns. A major national shift or unforeseen late development would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-22
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-22
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
8%
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
$16,948 Vol.
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding position in the Texas 22nd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s roughly 20-point margin there in 2024 and a Cook PVI of R+9. The open seat created by incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement has not altered the structural outlook, as Trever Nehls—his twin brother and a former Fort Bend County constable—secured the Republican nomination with strong primary support and endorsements from Trump and U.S. Senator Ted Cruz. The district, spanning suburban areas of Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties, has not elected a Democrat since 2012. Marquette Greene-Scott, the Democratic nominee, faces these entrenched partisan patterns. A major national shift or unforeseen late development would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$26,537Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding position in the Texas 22nd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s roughly 20-point margin there in 2024 and a Cook PVI of R+9. The open seat created by incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement has not altered the structural outlook, as Trever Nehls—his twin brother and a former Fort Bend County constable—secured the Republican nomination with strong primary support and endorsements from Trump and U.S. Senator Ted Cruz. The district, spanning suburban areas of Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties, has not elected a Democrat since 2012. Marquette Greene-Scott, the Democratic nominee, faces these entrenched partisan patterns. A major national shift or unforeseen late development would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,537Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls holds a commanding position in the Texas 22nd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Donald Trump’s roughly 20-point margin there in 2024 and a Cook PVI of R+9. The open seat created by incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement has not altered the structural outlook, as Trever Nehls—his twin brother and a former Fort Bend County constable—secured the Republican nomination with strong primary support and endorsements from Trump and U.S. Senator Ted Cruz. The district, spanning suburban areas of Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties, has not elected a Democrat since 2012. Marquette Greene-Scott, the Democratic nominee, faces these entrenched partisan patterns. A major national shift or unforeseen late development would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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