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icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?
Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?
Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

ene 1, 2027

ene 1, 2027

$788,303 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$788,303 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Líbano

Líbano

$115,268 Vol.

10%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$361,735 Vol.

9%

icon for Arabia Saudita

Arabia Saudita

$75,288 Vol.

7%

icon for Túnez

Túnez

$12,518 Vol.

7%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$17,074 Vol.

7%

icon for Irak

Irak

$13,696 Vol.

6%

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Pakistán

$9,947 Vol.

5%

icon for Siria

Siria

$22,262 Vol.

5%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$21,727 Vol.

4%

icon for Corea del Norte

Corea del Norte

$20,396 Vol.

4%

icon for Irán

Irán

$16,827 Vol.

4%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$13,377 Vol.

4%

icon for Afganistán

Afganistán

$20,795 Vol.

4%

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Catar

$38,172 Vol.

3%

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Bangladesh

$15,866 Vol.

3%

icon for Malasia

Malasia

$13,354 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Most countries already recognize Israel, leaving a core group of roughly two dozen non-recognizers concentrated among Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members plus North Korea, Cuba, and Venezuela. Diplomatic momentum centers on Abraham Accords expansion, with recent mutual recognition between Israel and Somaliland, embassy moves to Jerusalem by several Latin American states, and restored ties involving Bolivia and Venezuela. Speculation persists around potential new participants such as Kuwait or incremental progress with Saudi Arabia and Syria’s post-2025 government, though broader normalization remains constrained by regional dynamics and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Traders weigh these bilateral signals against the short timeline to December 31 and historical patterns of gradual rather than rapid shifts in recognition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$788,303
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Most countries already recognize Israel, leaving a core group of roughly two dozen non-recognizers concentrated among Arab League and Organisation of Islamic Cooperation members plus North Korea, Cuba, and Venezuela. Diplomatic momentum centers on Abraham Accords expansion, with recent mutual recognition between Israel and Somaliland, embassy moves to Jerusalem by several Latin American states, and restored ties involving Bolivia and Venezuela. Speculation persists around potential new participants such as Kuwait or incremental progress with Saudi Arabia and Syria’s post-2025 government, though broader normalization remains constrained by regional dynamics and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Traders weigh these bilateral signals against the short timeline to December 31 and historical patterns of gradual rather than rapid shifts in recognition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$788,303
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Líbano" con 10%, seguido de "Venezuela" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 10¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" ha generado $788.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "Líbano" con 10%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 10% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Venezuela" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.