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icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?

$758,664 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$758,664 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$79,101 Vol.

19%

icon for Italia

Italia

$27,850 Vol.

15%

icon for Países Bajos

Países Bajos

$62,492 Vol.

12%

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Nueva Zelanda

$124,487 Vol.

9%

icon for Japón

Japón

$48,986 Vol.

7%

icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$38,545 Vol.

7%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$130,083 Vol.

5%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$46,785 Vol.

4%

icon for Austria

Austria

$173,410 Vol.

4%

icon for Estados Unidos

Estados Unidos

$26,627 Vol.

4%

icon for Israel

Israel

$297 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum stems from the September 2025 wave of recognitions at the UN General Assembly, when France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, Monaco, and San Marino formally acknowledged Palestinian statehood amid coordinated France-Saudi efforts to advance a two-state solution. This brought the total near 158 of 193 UN members, following earlier 2024-2025 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, Slovenia, and Mexico. As of September 2026, Belgium has initiated its recognition process conditional on Hamas's exclusion from governance, while holdouts including the United States, Germany, Italy, and Japan maintain opposition tied to bilateral negotiations and security conditions. Key upcoming catalysts include the UN Palestinian Rights Committee sessions, Palestinian legislative and presidential elections slated for late 2026 and early 2027, and ongoing Arab-Muslim statements reaffirming statehood support.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$758,664
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum stems from the September 2025 wave of recognitions at the UN General Assembly, when France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, Monaco, and San Marino formally acknowledged Palestinian statehood amid coordinated France-Saudi efforts to advance a two-state solution. This brought the total near 158 of 193 UN members, following earlier 2024-2025 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, Slovenia, and Mexico. As of September 2026, Belgium has initiated its recognition process conditional on Hamas's exclusion from governance, while holdouts including the United States, Germany, Italy, and Japan maintain opposition tied to bilateral negotiations and security conditions. Key upcoming catalysts include the UN Palestinian Rights Committee sessions, Palestinian legislative and presidential elections slated for late 2026 and early 2027, and ongoing Arab-Muslim statements reaffirming statehood support.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$758,664
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Bélgica" con 19%, seguido de "Italia" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" ha generado $758.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" es "Bélgica" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Italia" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Palestina antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.