Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Yilan County Magistrate race ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. Recent candidate registration and early polling reflect his local roots as a longtime lawyer and community figure, giving the DPP an edge in a historically competitive county where the prior KMT magistrate faced legal issues. Opposition consolidation behind Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien, following his primary win over Zhang Sheng-de and coordination with the Taiwan People's Party's Chen Wan-hui, has narrowed gaps but left Wu trailing in head-to-head surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's swing dynamics, unconsolidated voter preferences, and the short window before formal campaigning intensifies. Further separation could arise from upcoming joint polls, debates, turnout patterns among key blocs, or shifts in national party momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLin Kuo-chang 56%
Wu Tsung-hsien 37%
Chen Wan-hui 3.9%
Chang Sheng-te 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
56%
Wu Tsung-hsien
37%
Chen Wan-hui
4%
Chang Sheng-te
1%
Lin Kuo-chang 56%
Wu Tsung-hsien 37%
Chen Wan-hui 3.9%
Chang Sheng-te 1.1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2027
Lin Kuo-chang
$2,240 Vol.
56%
Wu Tsung-hsien
$2,398 Vol.
37%
Chen Wan-hui
$394 Vol.
4%
Chang Sheng-te
$262 Vol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Yilan County Magistrate race ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. Recent candidate registration and early polling reflect his local roots as a longtime lawyer and community figure, giving the DPP an edge in a historically competitive county where the prior KMT magistrate faced legal issues. Opposition consolidation behind Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien, following his primary win over Zhang Sheng-de and coordination with the Taiwan People's Party's Chen Wan-hui, has narrowed gaps but left Wu trailing in head-to-head surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's swing dynamics, unconsolidated voter preferences, and the short window before formal campaigning intensifies. Further separation could arise from upcoming joint polls, debates, turnout patterns among key blocs, or shifts in national party momentum.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Volumen
$5,294Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Yilan County Magistrate race ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. Recent candidate registration and early polling reflect his local roots as a longtime lawyer and community figure, giving the DPP an edge in a historically competitive county where the prior KMT magistrate faced legal issues. Opposition consolidation behind Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien, following his primary win over Zhang Sheng-de and coordination with the Taiwan People's Party's Chen Wan-hui, has narrowed gaps but left Wu trailing in head-to-head surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's swing dynamics, unconsolidated voter preferences, and the short window before formal campaigning intensifies. Further separation could arise from upcoming joint polls, debates, turnout patterns among key blocs, or shifts in national party momentum.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yilan County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$5,294Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lin Kuo-chang, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Yilan County Magistrate race ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote. Recent candidate registration and early polling reflect his local roots as a longtime lawyer and community figure, giving the DPP an edge in a historically competitive county where the prior KMT magistrate faced legal issues. Opposition consolidation behind Kuomintang legislator Wu Tsung-hsien, following his primary win over Zhang Sheng-de and coordination with the Taiwan People's Party's Chen Wan-hui, has narrowed gaps but left Wu trailing in head-to-head surveys. The tight implied probabilities stem from Yilan's swing dynamics, unconsolidated voter preferences, and the short window before formal campaigning intensifies. Further separation could arise from upcoming joint polls, debates, turnout patterns among key blocs, or shifts in national party momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes