Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers holds a commanding position in Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District race, reflecting the seat’s consistent R+23 partisan lean and Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Rogers secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the May primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with more than $1.7 million raised and $2.6 million in cash on hand compared with Democratic nominee Lee McInnis’s roughly $28,000. McInnis, a retired Defense Intelligence Agency employee, has focused his general-election effort on affordability, rural health care, and education through events such as an August town hall. Trader consensus around 95 percent for Rogers stems from these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the primaries. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAL-03 House Election Winner
AL-03 House Election Winner
$42,196 Vol.
$42,196 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
95%
Lee McInnis (D)
<1%
$42,196 Vol.
$42,196 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
$23,823 Vol.
95%
Lee McInnis (D)
$18,374 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers holds a commanding position in Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District race, reflecting the seat’s consistent R+23 partisan lean and Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Rogers secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the May primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with more than $1.7 million raised and $2.6 million in cash on hand compared with Democratic nominee Lee McInnis’s roughly $28,000. McInnis, a retired Defense Intelligence Agency employee, has focused his general-election effort on affordability, rural health care, and education through events such as an August town hall. Trader consensus around 95 percent for Rogers stems from these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the primaries. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$42,196End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers holds a commanding position in Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District race, reflecting the seat’s consistent R+23 partisan lean and Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Rogers secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the May primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with more than $1.7 million raised and $2.6 million in cash on hand compared with Democratic nominee Lee McInnis’s roughly $28,000. McInnis, a retired Defense Intelligence Agency employee, has focused his general-election effort on affordability, rural health care, and education through events such as an August town hall. Trader consensus around 95 percent for Rogers stems from these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the primaries. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,196End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers holds a commanding position in Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District race, reflecting the seat’s consistent R+23 partisan lean and Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Rogers secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the May primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with more than $1.7 million raised and $2.6 million in cash on hand compared with Democratic nominee Lee McInnis’s roughly $28,000. McInnis, a retired Defense Intelligence Agency employee, has focused his general-election effort on affordability, rural health care, and education through events such as an August town hall. Trader consensus around 95 percent for Rogers stems from these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts since the primaries. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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