Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented contest, with CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15-21 percent and SPD trailing further back. This narrow spread among the leading parties sustains uncertainty over fourth place, as small shifts in turnout or late-campaign dynamics could reorder the middle of the field. The CDU has faced volatility following its candidate change, while Linke and AfD have posted gains in several surveys; Grüne has remained more stable near the middle of the pack. Traders price these patterns into the current odds, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of the remaining campaign window and historical volatility in Berlin voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGrüne 45%
AfD 26%
SPD 15%
CDU 12.2%
$12,213 Vol.
$12,213 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
45%
AfD
26%
SPD
12%
CDU
12%
Linke
7%
BSW
2%
FDP
1%
FW
1%
Grüne 45%
AfD 26%
SPD 15%
CDU 12.2%
$12,213 Vol.
$12,213 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$6,498 Vol.
45%
AfD
$3,897 Vol.
26%
SPD
$344 Vol.
12%
CDU
$162 Vol.
12%
Linke
$738 Vol.
7%
BSW
$212 Vol.
2%
FDP
$154 Vol.
1%
FW
$209 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented contest, with CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15-21 percent and SPD trailing further back. This narrow spread among the leading parties sustains uncertainty over fourth place, as small shifts in turnout or late-campaign dynamics could reorder the middle of the field. The CDU has faced volatility following its candidate change, while Linke and AfD have posted gains in several surveys; Grüne has remained more stable near the middle of the pack. Traders price these patterns into the current odds, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of the remaining campaign window and historical volatility in Berlin voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Volume
$12,213End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented contest, with CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15-21 percent and SPD trailing further back. This narrow spread among the leading parties sustains uncertainty over fourth place, as small shifts in turnout or late-campaign dynamics could reorder the middle of the field. The CDU has faced volatility following its candidate change, while Linke and AfD have posted gains in several surveys; Grüne has remained more stable near the middle of the pack. Traders price these patterns into the current odds, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of the remaining campaign window and historical volatility in Berlin voting.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$12,213End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented contest, with CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15-21 percent and SPD trailing further back. This narrow spread among the leading parties sustains uncertainty over fourth place, as small shifts in turnout or late-campaign dynamics could reorder the middle of the field. The CDU has faced volatility following its candidate change, while Linke and AfD have posted gains in several surveys; Grüne has remained more stable near the middle of the pack. Traders price these patterns into the current odds, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of the remaining campaign window and historical volatility in Berlin voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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