Trader consensus around Elon Musk's tweet totals for September 1–8 clusters tightly in the 180–219 range because his established daily rhythm—often 25–35 posts amid news cycles, company updates, and platform engagement—typically lands there. Historical weekly variance of 50+ tweets, driven by bursts tied to Tesla or SpaceX developments and broader cultural conversations, explains the spread across neighboring bins and the near-even split at the top. No singular upcoming catalyst stands out to shift the baseline, leaving room for the usual swings in volume that traders price into the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 17%
200-219 17%
160-179 15%
220-239 13%
$129,582 Vol.
$129,582 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
5%
140-159
10%
160-179
15%
180-199
17%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 17%
160-179 15%
220-239 13%
$129,582 Vol.
$129,582 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
5%
140-159
10%
160-179
15%
180-199
17%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around Elon Musk's tweet totals for September 1–8 clusters tightly in the 180–219 range because his established daily rhythm—often 25–35 posts amid news cycles, company updates, and platform engagement—typically lands there. Historical weekly variance of 50+ tweets, driven by bursts tied to Tesla or SpaceX developments and broader cultural conversations, explains the spread across neighboring bins and the near-even split at the top. No singular upcoming catalyst stands out to shift the baseline, leaving room for the usual swings in volume that traders price into the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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