Recent CDC FluView and NHSN surveillance data show influenza-associated hospitalization rates remaining at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population in late-summer weeks, aligning with historical off-season baselines when transmission is suppressed by higher humidity, school closures, and lower viral circulation. Week 34 (August 23–29, 2026) falls squarely in this period, with preliminary FluSurv-NET and RESP-NET figures indicating minimal laboratory-confirmed admissions and low percent positivity. Trader consensus around the 0.1 threshold reflects uncertainty in final adjusted rates due to reporting lags, age-specific weighting, and any early uptick in southern or pediatric cases that could nudge the weekly figure slightly higher before official release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 34, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 34, 2026?
0.1 99.5%
<0.1 1.0%
>0.1 1.0%
$261 Vol.
$261 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
<0.1
No
0.1
Yes
>0.1
No
0.1 99.5%
<0.1 1.0%
>0.1 1.0%
$261 Vol.
$261 Vol.
Sep 4, 2026
<0.1
$8 Vol.
No
0.1
$238 Vol.
Yes
>0.1
$15 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Recent CDC FluView and NHSN surveillance data show influenza-associated hospitalization rates remaining at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population in late-summer weeks, aligning with historical off-season baselines when transmission is suppressed by higher humidity, school closures, and lower viral circulation. Week 34 (August 23–29, 2026) falls squarely in this period, with preliminary FluSurv-NET and RESP-NET figures indicating minimal laboratory-confirmed admissions and low percent positivity. Trader consensus around the 0.1 threshold reflects uncertainty in final adjusted rates due to reporting lags, age-specific weighting, and any early uptick in southern or pediatric cases that could nudge the weekly figure slightly higher before official release.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$261End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Recent CDC FluView and NHSN surveillance data show influenza-associated hospitalization rates remaining at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population in late-summer weeks, aligning with historical off-season baselines when transmission is suppressed by higher humidity, school closures, and lower viral circulation. Week 34 (August 23–29, 2026) falls squarely in this period, with preliminary FluSurv-NET and RESP-NET figures indicating minimal laboratory-confirmed admissions and low percent positivity. Trader consensus around the 0.1 threshold reflects uncertainty in final adjusted rates due to reporting lags, age-specific weighting, and any early uptick in southern or pediatric cases that could nudge the weekly figure slightly higher before official release.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$261End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent CDC FluView and NHSN surveillance data show influenza-associated hospitalization rates remaining at or near 0.1 per 100,000 population in late-summer weeks, aligning with historical off-season baselines when transmission is suppressed by higher humidity, school closures, and lower viral circulation. Week 34 (August 23–29, 2026) falls squarely in this period, with preliminary FluSurv-NET and RESP-NET figures indicating minimal laboratory-confirmed admissions and low percent positivity. Trader consensus around the 0.1 threshold reflects uncertainty in final adjusted rates due to reporting lags, age-specific weighting, and any early uptick in southern or pediatric cases that could nudge the weekly figure slightly higher before official release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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