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icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Bernard Drainville 58%

Karine Laflamme 36%

Brittany Blais 2.8%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW

Bernard Drainville 58%

Karine Laflamme 36%

Brittany Blais 2.8%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$868 Vol.

58%

icon for Karine Laflamme

Karine Laflamme

$855 Vol.

36%

icon for Brittany Blais

Brittany Blais

$480 Vol.

3%

icon for Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

$838 Vol.

3%

icon for Yanick Godbout

Yanick Godbout

$305 Vol.

31%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville, the incumbent Coalition avenir Québec MNA for Lévis, holds the leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 5 provincial election, though projections show a near toss-up with Conservateur du Québec candidate Karine Laflamme. Local priorities including the stalled third link bridge project, east-west transit options, housing pressures, and economic growth in the Chaudière-Appalaches region have narrowed the gap from Drainville’s 2022 margin. Laflamme and Parti Québécois nominee Yanick Godbout have focused attacks on mobility and CAQ delivery, while provincial polling trends show the CAQ trailing other parties overall. The short campaign window, with advance voting set for September 27–28 and nomination deadlines now closed, leaves limited time for further shifts before ballots are cast.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,346
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville, the incumbent Coalition avenir Québec MNA for Lévis, holds the leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 5 provincial election, though projections show a near toss-up with Conservateur du Québec candidate Karine Laflamme. Local priorities including the stalled third link bridge project, east-west transit options, housing pressures, and economic growth in the Chaudière-Appalaches region have narrowed the gap from Drainville’s 2022 margin. Laflamme and Parti Québécois nominee Yanick Godbout have focused attacks on mobility and CAQ delivery, while provincial polling trends show the CAQ trailing other parties overall. The short campaign window, with advance voting set for September 27–28 and nomination deadlines now closed, leaves limited time for further shifts before ballots are cast.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,346
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bernard Drainville" at 58%, followed by "Karine Laflamme" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Bernard Drainville" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karine Laflamme" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.