Netflix shares closed near $78.25 on September 4 after a 5.35% drop triggered by UK subscription price hikes across all tiers, including a 33% increase on the ad-supported plan, alongside Q2 results showing 13.4% revenue growth that nonetheless signaled decelerating momentum into Q3. Traders appear to price in limited near-term rebound potential this week, with the $70–$80 bin commanding 66% implied probability amid ongoing concerns over competition, content costs, and a 37% year-over-year price decline that has compressed the multiple to roughly 24.7 times trailing earnings. Recent free-cash-flow guidance near $12.5 billion for 2026 and analyst price targets clustered around $93–$96 provide some support, though the next earnings release on October 20 remains the key upcoming catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$70-$80 70%
$80-$90 31%
$50-$60 7.0%
$90-$100 6.4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<$30
<1%
$30-$40
<1%
$40-$50
10%
$50-$60
7%
$60-$70
5%
$70-$80
70%
$80-$90
26%
$90-$100
6%
$100-$110
4%
$110-$120
1%
>$120
1%
$70-$80 70%
$80-$90 31%
$50-$60 7.0%
$90-$100 6.4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<$30
$84 Vol.
<1%
$30-$40
$174 Vol.
<1%
$40-$50
$44 Vol.
10%
$50-$60
$26 Vol.
7%
$60-$70
$26 Vol.
5%
$70-$80
$26 Vol.
70%
$80-$90
$56 Vol.
26%
$90-$100
$26 Vol.
6%
$100-$110
$26 Vol.
4%
$110-$120
$156 Vol.
1%
>$120
$144 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.Netflix shares closed near $78.25 on September 4 after a 5.35% drop triggered by UK subscription price hikes across all tiers, including a 33% increase on the ad-supported plan, alongside Q2 results showing 13.4% revenue growth that nonetheless signaled decelerating momentum into Q3. Traders appear to price in limited near-term rebound potential this week, with the $70–$80 bin commanding 66% implied probability amid ongoing concerns over competition, content costs, and a 37% year-over-year price decline that has compressed the multiple to roughly 24.7 times trailing earnings. Recent free-cash-flow guidance near $12.5 billion for 2026 and analyst price targets clustered around $93–$96 provide some support, though the next earnings release on October 20 remains the key upcoming catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$786End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.Netflix shares closed near $78.25 on September 4 after a 5.35% drop triggered by UK subscription price hikes across all tiers, including a 33% increase on the ad-supported plan, alongside Q2 results showing 13.4% revenue growth that nonetheless signaled decelerating momentum into Q3. Traders appear to price in limited near-term rebound potential this week, with the $70–$80 bin commanding 66% implied probability amid ongoing concerns over competition, content costs, and a 37% year-over-year price decline that has compressed the multiple to roughly 24.7 times trailing earnings. Recent free-cash-flow guidance near $12.5 billion for 2026 and analyst price targets clustered around $93–$96 provide some support, though the next earnings release on October 20 remains the key upcoming catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Volume
$786End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Netflix shares closed near $78.25 on September 4 after a 5.35% drop triggered by UK subscription price hikes across all tiers, including a 33% increase on the ad-supported plan, alongside Q2 results showing 13.4% revenue growth that nonetheless signaled decelerating momentum into Q3. Traders appear to price in limited near-term rebound potential this week, with the $70–$80 bin commanding 66% implied probability amid ongoing concerns over competition, content costs, and a 37% year-over-year price decline that has compressed the multiple to roughly 24.7 times trailing earnings. Recent free-cash-flow guidance near $12.5 billion for 2026 and analyst price targets clustered around $93–$96 provide some support, though the next earnings release on October 20 remains the key upcoming catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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