Recent trading in SpaceX (SPCX) around $148–$153 has anchored trader expectations for the week of September 7, with the September 8 close at $153.47 reflecting momentum into the period. The dominant catalyst remains the September 9 lock-up expiration releasing 319 million shares, which introduces supply overhang and potential volatility that caps upside while supporting bids near current levels. Strong revenue growth, including 91.9% year-over-year gains to $7.81 billion in the latest quarter, underpins the 31% market-implied odds for the $150–$155 range versus 24% for $145–$150. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether institutional absorption of unlocked shares sustains the post-IPO recovery from June lows or triggers near-term pressure, with upcoming earnings and analyst targets around $212–$222 providing additional context for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$150-$155 27%
$145-$150 19%
$155-$160 19%
$160-$165 12.8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<$125
10%
$125-$130
11%
$130-$135
11%
$135-$140
7%
$140-$145
13%
$145-$150
19%
$150-$155
27%
$155-$160
19%
$160-$165
13%
$165-$170
7%
>$170
6%
$150-$155 27%
$145-$150 19%
$155-$160 19%
$160-$165 12.8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<$125
$0 Vol.
10%
$125-$130
$0 Vol.
11%
$130-$135
$0 Vol.
11%
$135-$140
$14 Vol.
7%
$140-$145
$0 Vol.
13%
$145-$150
$0 Vol.
19%
$150-$155
$0 Vol.
27%
$155-$160
$0 Vol.
19%
$160-$165
$0 Vol.
13%
$165-$170
$0 Vol.
7%
>$170
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.Recent trading in SpaceX (SPCX) around $148–$153 has anchored trader expectations for the week of September 7, with the September 8 close at $153.47 reflecting momentum into the period. The dominant catalyst remains the September 9 lock-up expiration releasing 319 million shares, which introduces supply overhang and potential volatility that caps upside while supporting bids near current levels. Strong revenue growth, including 91.9% year-over-year gains to $7.81 billion in the latest quarter, underpins the 31% market-implied odds for the $150–$155 range versus 24% for $145–$150. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether institutional absorption of unlocked shares sustains the post-IPO recovery from June lows or triggers near-term pressure, with upcoming earnings and analyst targets around $212–$222 providing additional context for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$14End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.Recent trading in SpaceX (SPCX) around $148–$153 has anchored trader expectations for the week of September 7, with the September 8 close at $153.47 reflecting momentum into the period. The dominant catalyst remains the September 9 lock-up expiration releasing 319 million shares, which introduces supply overhang and potential volatility that caps upside while supporting bids near current levels. Strong revenue growth, including 91.9% year-over-year gains to $7.81 billion in the latest quarter, underpins the 31% market-implied odds for the $150–$155 range versus 24% for $145–$150. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether institutional absorption of unlocked shares sustains the post-IPO recovery from June lows or triggers near-term pressure, with upcoming earnings and analyst targets around $212–$222 providing additional context for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Volume
$14End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trading in SpaceX (SPCX) around $148–$153 has anchored trader expectations for the week of September 7, with the September 8 close at $153.47 reflecting momentum into the period. The dominant catalyst remains the September 9 lock-up expiration releasing 319 million shares, which introduces supply overhang and potential volatility that caps upside while supporting bids near current levels. Strong revenue growth, including 91.9% year-over-year gains to $7.81 billion in the latest quarter, underpins the 31% market-implied odds for the $150–$155 range versus 24% for $145–$150. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether institutional absorption of unlocked shares sustains the post-IPO recovery from June lows or triggers near-term pressure, with upcoming earnings and analyst targets around $212–$222 providing additional context for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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