Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a Las Vegas-area swing seat with a D+1 partisan lean where she has won recent general elections by narrow margins. Her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support from forecasters rating the race Lean Democratic underpin trader consensus around 93 percent. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, backed by a Trump endorsement and comparable campaign resources, has narrowed the gap from prior cycles but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent since 2018. Late developments such as shifts in national turnout, gubernatorial coattails, or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Susie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Susie Lee (D)
$4,116 Vol.
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
$2,022 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a Las Vegas-area swing seat with a D+1 partisan lean where she has won recent general elections by narrow margins. Her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support from forecasters rating the race Lean Democratic underpin trader consensus around 93 percent. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, backed by a Trump endorsement and comparable campaign resources, has narrowed the gap from prior cycles but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent since 2018. Late developments such as shifts in national turnout, gubernatorial coattails, or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$6,138End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a Las Vegas-area swing seat with a D+1 partisan lean where she has won recent general elections by narrow margins. Her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support from forecasters rating the race Lean Democratic underpin trader consensus around 93 percent. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, backed by a Trump endorsement and comparable campaign resources, has narrowed the gap from prior cycles but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent since 2018. Late developments such as shifts in national turnout, gubernatorial coattails, or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,138End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, a Las Vegas-area swing seat with a D+1 partisan lean where she has won recent general elections by narrow margins. Her decisive primary victory, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent support from forecasters rating the race Lean Democratic underpin trader consensus around 93 percent. Republican nominee Marty O’Donnell, backed by a Trump endorsement and comparable campaign resources, has narrowed the gap from prior cycles but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored the Democratic incumbent since 2018. Late developments such as shifts in national turnout, gubernatorial coattails, or unexpected campaign events remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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