Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn in Tennessee's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's solid Republican lean, reinforced by 2026 mid-decade redistricting that added favorable Shelby County areas and shifted boundaries, underpins the 92.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing. Kustoff advanced unopposed in the August 6 primary after prior general election victories exceeding 70 points, while Kuhn prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican based on partisan voting index and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts in voter sentiment represent the main variables that could narrow the margin before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
$30,940 Vol.
$30,940 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$30,940 Vol.
$30,940 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$18,392 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$12,549 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn in Tennessee's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's solid Republican lean, reinforced by 2026 mid-decade redistricting that added favorable Shelby County areas and shifted boundaries, underpins the 92.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing. Kustoff advanced unopposed in the August 6 primary after prior general election victories exceeding 70 points, while Kuhn prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican based on partisan voting index and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts in voter sentiment represent the main variables that could narrow the margin before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,940End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn in Tennessee's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's solid Republican lean, reinforced by 2026 mid-decade redistricting that added favorable Shelby County areas and shifted boundaries, underpins the 92.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing. Kustoff advanced unopposed in the August 6 primary after prior general election victories exceeding 70 points, while Kuhn prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican based on partisan voting index and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts in voter sentiment represent the main variables that could narrow the margin before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,940End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff faces Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn in Tennessee's 8th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's solid Republican lean, reinforced by 2026 mid-decade redistricting that added favorable Shelby County areas and shifted boundaries, underpins the 92.5% Republican consensus in trader pricing. Kustoff advanced unopposed in the August 6 primary after prior general election victories exceeding 70 points, while Kuhn prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the seat safe or solid Republican based on partisan voting index and historical turnout patterns. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts in voter sentiment represent the main variables that could narrow the margin before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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