Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the May 2026 redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+9 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, drew multiple Republican primary candidates, and Johnny Garrett's August 6 primary victory positioned a standard GOP nominee against Democrat Mike Croley. Race forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base, turnout patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural factors, with a Democratic upset requiring an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption unlikely to materialize before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
$14,021 Vol.
$14,021 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$14,021 Vol.
$14,021 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$9,020 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$5,001 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the May 2026 redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+9 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, drew multiple Republican primary candidates, and Johnny Garrett's August 6 primary victory positioned a standard GOP nominee against Democrat Mike Croley. Race forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base, turnout patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural factors, with a Democratic upset requiring an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption unlikely to materialize before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$14,021End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the May 2026 redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+9 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, drew multiple Republican primary candidates, and Johnny Garrett's August 6 primary victory positioned a standard GOP nominee against Democrat Mike Croley. Race forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base, turnout patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural factors, with a Democratic upset requiring an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption unlikely to materialize before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,021End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following the May 2026 redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+9 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, drew multiple Republican primary candidates, and Johnny Garrett's August 6 primary victory positioned a standard GOP nominee against Democrat Mike Croley. Race forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Republican, reflecting the district's voter base, turnout patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural factors, with a Democratic upset requiring an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption unlikely to materialize before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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