Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher holds a strong position in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting partisan lean and recent primary outcomes. Mid-cycle map changes approved by the Republican-controlled legislature shifted boundaries to include more rural and suburban Republican-leaning areas while diluting Democratic strongholds, producing a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 Republican primary, while Democrat Chaz Molder won his party’s nomination. Available polling shows Hatcher ahead by double digits, consistent with the district’s recent presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and electoral factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-05 House Election Winner
TN-05 House Election Winner
$53,140 Vol.
$53,140 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$53,140 Vol.
$53,140 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$26,783 Vol.
87%
Democratic Party
$26,358 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher holds a strong position in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting partisan lean and recent primary outcomes. Mid-cycle map changes approved by the Republican-controlled legislature shifted boundaries to include more rural and suburban Republican-leaning areas while diluting Democratic strongholds, producing a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 Republican primary, while Democrat Chaz Molder won his party’s nomination. Available polling shows Hatcher ahead by double digits, consistent with the district’s recent presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and electoral factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$53,140End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher holds a strong position in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting partisan lean and recent primary outcomes. Mid-cycle map changes approved by the Republican-controlled legislature shifted boundaries to include more rural and suburban Republican-leaning areas while diluting Democratic strongholds, producing a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 Republican primary, while Democrat Chaz Molder won his party’s nomination. Available polling shows Hatcher ahead by double digits, consistent with the district’s recent presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and electoral factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,140End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher holds a strong position in Tennessee’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district’s post-redistricting partisan lean and recent primary outcomes. Mid-cycle map changes approved by the Republican-controlled legislature shifted boundaries to include more rural and suburban Republican-leaning areas while diluting Democratic strongholds, producing a Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6 Republican primary, while Democrat Chaz Molder won his party’s nomination. Available polling shows Hatcher ahead by double digits, consistent with the district’s recent presidential voting patterns favoring Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and electoral factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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