Joe Wilson’s long incumbency since 2001, combined with South Carolina’s 2nd District’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+13, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74 percent in the June primary. Zyon Khalifa, who won the Democratic runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no evident polling surge. A minor Workers Party candidate adds negligible volatility. Late developments such as a major scandal, Wilson’s withdrawal, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$39,934 Vol.
$39,934 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
5%
$39,934 Vol.
$39,934 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Joe Wilson (R)
$15,155 Vol.
92%
Zyon Khalifa (D)
$24,779 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson’s long incumbency since 2001, combined with South Carolina’s 2nd District’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+13, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74 percent in the June primary. Zyon Khalifa, who won the Democratic runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no evident polling surge. A minor Workers Party candidate adds negligible volatility. Late developments such as a major scandal, Wilson’s withdrawal, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$39,934End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Wilson’s long incumbency since 2001, combined with South Carolina’s 2nd District’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+13, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74 percent in the June primary. Zyon Khalifa, who won the Democratic runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no evident polling surge. A minor Workers Party candidate adds negligible volatility. Late developments such as a major scandal, Wilson’s withdrawal, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,934End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Joe Wilson’s long incumbency since 2001, combined with South Carolina’s 2nd District’s consistent Republican lean of roughly R+13, anchors trader consensus near 92 percent for his reelection. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, and Wilson secured his party’s nomination with 74 percent in the June primary. Zyon Khalifa, who won the Democratic runoff in late June, faces structural headwinds with limited fundraising and no evident polling surge. A minor Workers Party candidate adds negligible volatility. Late developments such as a major scandal, Wilson’s withdrawal, or an unforeseen national Democratic wave could still shift probabilities before the November 3 general election, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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