Recent polling ahead of the October 5 Quebec election shows the PQ and CAQ in a statistical tie near 27-28 percent, with the PLQ dropping to around 20 percent and the PCQ and QS further back, reflecting CAQ gains among francophones and older voters amid U.S. trade tensions. The PLQ’s concentration of support in Montreal and among anglophones and allophones positions it as the most likely third-place finisher, while the CAQ’s momentum and the PQ’s francophone edge create uncertainty over the top two spots and potential shifts in lower placements. High levels of undecided voters, regional riding variations, and the possibility of late campaign movement among the five main parties keep probabilities for third place closely contested beyond the PLQ favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPLQ 55%
CAQ 29%
PCQ 7%
PQ 5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
55%
CAQ
29%
PCQ
7%
PQ
5%
QS
3%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 55%
CAQ 29%
PCQ 7%
PQ 5%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$1,253 Vol.
55%
CAQ
$827 Vol.
29%
PCQ
$529 Vol.
7%
PQ
$1,040 Vol.
5%
QS
$888 Vol.
3%
PVQ
$494 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of the October 5 Quebec election shows the PQ and CAQ in a statistical tie near 27-28 percent, with the PLQ dropping to around 20 percent and the PCQ and QS further back, reflecting CAQ gains among francophones and older voters amid U.S. trade tensions. The PLQ’s concentration of support in Montreal and among anglophones and allophones positions it as the most likely third-place finisher, while the CAQ’s momentum and the PQ’s francophone edge create uncertainty over the top two spots and potential shifts in lower placements. High levels of undecided voters, regional riding variations, and the possibility of late campaign movement among the five main parties keep probabilities for third place closely contested beyond the PLQ favorite.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,031End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of the October 5 Quebec election shows the PQ and CAQ in a statistical tie near 27-28 percent, with the PLQ dropping to around 20 percent and the PCQ and QS further back, reflecting CAQ gains among francophones and older voters amid U.S. trade tensions. The PLQ’s concentration of support in Montreal and among anglophones and allophones positions it as the most likely third-place finisher, while the CAQ’s momentum and the PQ’s francophone edge create uncertainty over the top two spots and potential shifts in lower placements. High levels of undecided voters, regional riding variations, and the possibility of late campaign movement among the five main parties keep probabilities for third place closely contested beyond the PLQ favorite.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$5,031End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of the October 5 Quebec election shows the PQ and CAQ in a statistical tie near 27-28 percent, with the PLQ dropping to around 20 percent and the PCQ and QS further back, reflecting CAQ gains among francophones and older voters amid U.S. trade tensions. The PLQ’s concentration of support in Montreal and among anglophones and allophones positions it as the most likely third-place finisher, while the CAQ’s momentum and the PQ’s francophone edge create uncertainty over the top two spots and potential shifts in lower placements. High levels of undecided voters, regional riding variations, and the possibility of late campaign movement among the five main parties keep probabilities for third place closely contested beyond the PLQ favorite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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