Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman with roughly two-thirds of the vote. In this solidly Democratic district covering Lower Manhattan and western Brooklyn, Lander benefits from strong local name recognition as former city comptroller, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive national figures, and alignment with voter priorities on housing affordability and immigration enforcement. Republican nominee Jennifer Moore faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus at 98.6% for Lander reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could still alter the general election outcome on November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-10 House Election Winner
NY-10 House Election Winner
$53,925 Vol.
$53,925 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Lander (D)
99%
Jennifer Moore (R)
<1%
$53,925 Vol.
$53,925 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Brad Lander (D)
$16,749 Vol.
99%
Jennifer Moore (R)
$37,175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman with roughly two-thirds of the vote. In this solidly Democratic district covering Lower Manhattan and western Brooklyn, Lander benefits from strong local name recognition as former city comptroller, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive national figures, and alignment with voter priorities on housing affordability and immigration enforcement. Republican nominee Jennifer Moore faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus at 98.6% for Lander reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could still alter the general election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$53,925End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman with roughly two-thirds of the vote. In this solidly Democratic district covering Lower Manhattan and western Brooklyn, Lander benefits from strong local name recognition as former city comptroller, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive national figures, and alignment with voter priorities on housing affordability and immigration enforcement. Republican nominee Jennifer Moore faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus at 98.6% for Lander reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could still alter the general election outcome on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,925End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 10th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating two-term incumbent Dan Goldman with roughly two-thirds of the vote. In this solidly Democratic district covering Lower Manhattan and western Brooklyn, Lander benefits from strong local name recognition as former city comptroller, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and progressive national figures, and alignment with voter priorities on housing affordability and immigration enforcement. Republican nominee Jennifer Moore faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus at 98.6% for Lander reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unforeseen scandals, health events, or sharp national shifts could still alter the general election outcome on November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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