Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race due to the seat’s post-redistricting Democratic tilt, his decisive 2024 victory, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Kailee Buller’s roughly $190,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, and nonpartisan analysts have rated the contest solidly Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter enrollment edge and historical performance trends. Buller’s campaign has drawn limited national Republican support. Late-breaking events such as unexpected scandals, health developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$22,266 Vol.
$22,266 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
John Mannion (D)
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
6%
$22,266 Vol.
$22,266 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
John Mannion (D)
$10,907 Vol.
93%
Kailee Buller (R)
$11,358 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race due to the seat’s post-redistricting Democratic tilt, his decisive 2024 victory, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Kailee Buller’s roughly $190,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, and nonpartisan analysts have rated the contest solidly Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter enrollment edge and historical performance trends. Buller’s campaign has drawn limited national Republican support. Late-breaking events such as unexpected scandals, health developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$22,266End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race due to the seat’s post-redistricting Democratic tilt, his decisive 2024 victory, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Kailee Buller’s roughly $190,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, and nonpartisan analysts have rated the contest solidly Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter enrollment edge and historical performance trends. Buller’s campaign has drawn limited national Republican support. Late-breaking events such as unexpected scandals, health developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,266End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the New York 22nd congressional district race due to the seat’s post-redistricting Democratic tilt, his decisive 2024 victory, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared with challenger Kailee Buller’s roughly $190,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June primaries, and nonpartisan analysts have rated the contest solidly Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter enrollment edge and historical performance trends. Buller’s campaign has drawn limited national Republican support. Late-breaking events such as unexpected scandals, health developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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