Recent polling in Ohio’s 7th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, leading or statistically tied with Republican incumbent Max Miller, shifting trader assessments toward the Democratic Party. Multiple August surveys placed Poindexter ahead by double digits in some samples or within the margin in others, amid a national midterm environment where the party out of power often gains ground. The race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and similar outlets, reflecting the district’s underlying Republican lean from the 2024 presidential results alongside Poindexter’s working-class profile and union support. With the November 3 general election two months away, voter turnout patterns and any late shifts in candidate favorability among independents and suburban voters could still alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-07 House Election Winner
OH-07 House Election Winner
$53,004 Vol.
$53,004 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
79%
Republican Party
22%
$53,004 Vol.
$53,004 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$33,347 Vol.
79%
Republican Party
$19,657 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Ohio’s 7th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, leading or statistically tied with Republican incumbent Max Miller, shifting trader assessments toward the Democratic Party. Multiple August surveys placed Poindexter ahead by double digits in some samples or within the margin in others, amid a national midterm environment where the party out of power often gains ground. The race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and similar outlets, reflecting the district’s underlying Republican lean from the 2024 presidential results alongside Poindexter’s working-class profile and union support. With the November 3 general election two months away, voter turnout patterns and any late shifts in candidate favorability among independents and suburban voters could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$53,004End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Ohio’s 7th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, leading or statistically tied with Republican incumbent Max Miller, shifting trader assessments toward the Democratic Party. Multiple August surveys placed Poindexter ahead by double digits in some samples or within the margin in others, amid a national midterm environment where the party out of power often gains ground. The race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and similar outlets, reflecting the district’s underlying Republican lean from the 2024 presidential results alongside Poindexter’s working-class profile and union support. With the November 3 general election two months away, voter turnout patterns and any late shifts in candidate favorability among independents and suburban voters could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,004End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Ohio’s 7th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Brian Poindexter, a union ironworker and local councilman, leading or statistically tied with Republican incumbent Max Miller, shifting trader assessments toward the Democratic Party. Multiple August surveys placed Poindexter ahead by double digits in some samples or within the margin in others, amid a national midterm environment where the party out of power often gains ground. The race remains rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and similar outlets, reflecting the district’s underlying Republican lean from the 2024 presidential results alongside Poindexter’s working-class profile and union support. With the November 3 general election two months away, voter turnout patterns and any late shifts in candidate favorability among independents and suburban voters could still alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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