Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed, seeking a sixth term in the strongly Democratic state of Rhode Island, maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Reed leading Republican nominee Raymond McKay by roughly 20 points in the general election and ahead in the Democratic primary against challengers including Connor Burbridge. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2000. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these structural advantages and polling trends. A major scandal, significant health event for Reed, or unusually large national partisan shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors based on available evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,684 Vol.
$10,684 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
96%
Republican
4%
$10,684 Vol.
$10,684 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$6,773 Vol.
96%
Republican
$3,911 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed, seeking a sixth term in the strongly Democratic state of Rhode Island, maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Reed leading Republican nominee Raymond McKay by roughly 20 points in the general election and ahead in the Democratic primary against challengers including Connor Burbridge. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2000. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these structural advantages and polling trends. A major scandal, significant health event for Reed, or unusually large national partisan shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$10,684End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed, seeking a sixth term in the strongly Democratic state of Rhode Island, maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Reed leading Republican nominee Raymond McKay by roughly 20 points in the general election and ahead in the Democratic primary against challengers including Connor Burbridge. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2000. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these structural advantages and polling trends. A major scandal, significant health event for Reed, or unusually large national partisan shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$10,684End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Jack Reed, seeking a sixth term in the strongly Democratic state of Rhode Island, maintains a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows Reed leading Republican nominee Raymond McKay by roughly 20 points in the general election and ahead in the Democratic primary against challengers including Connor Burbridge. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the state's voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate victory since 2000. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with these structural advantages and polling trends. A major scandal, significant health event for Reed, or unusually large national partisan shift could narrow the margin, though such developments remain low-probability factors based on available evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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