**No** holds a 90% implied probability because the Department of Justice completed its major releases of Epstein-related files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act without identifying evidence sufficient for new U.S. federal or state indictments. Senior officials, including Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, publicly stated that correspondence, photographs, and investigative materials from the releases do not support additional prosecutions, consistent with earlier internal reviews. Congressional oversight hearings and document releases have continued into mid-2026, yet they have produced no charging announcements tied to the disclosures. Limited foreign arrests and investigations have occurred outside U.S. jurisdiction, while domestic efforts remain focused on transparency and committee review rather than criminal cases. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, the absence of qualifying charges since the December 2025 releases underpins trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated10% chance
$135,441 Vol.
$135,441 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
10% chance
$135,441 Vol.
$135,441 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No** holds a 90% implied probability because the Department of Justice completed its major releases of Epstein-related files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act without identifying evidence sufficient for new U.S. federal or state indictments. Senior officials, including Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, publicly stated that correspondence, photographs, and investigative materials from the releases do not support additional prosecutions, consistent with earlier internal reviews. Congressional oversight hearings and document releases have continued into mid-2026, yet they have produced no charging announcements tied to the disclosures. Limited foreign arrests and investigations have occurred outside U.S. jurisdiction, while domestic efforts remain focused on transparency and committee review rather than criminal cases. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, the absence of qualifying charges since the December 2025 releases underpins trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$135,441End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No** holds a 90% implied probability because the Department of Justice completed its major releases of Epstein-related files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act without identifying evidence sufficient for new U.S. federal or state indictments. Senior officials, including Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, publicly stated that correspondence, photographs, and investigative materials from the releases do not support additional prosecutions, consistent with earlier internal reviews. Congressional oversight hearings and document releases have continued into mid-2026, yet they have produced no charging announcements tied to the disclosures. Limited foreign arrests and investigations have occurred outside U.S. jurisdiction, while domestic efforts remain focused on transparency and committee review rather than criminal cases. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, the absence of qualifying charges since the December 2025 releases underpins trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$135,441End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No** holds a 90% implied probability because the Department of Justice completed its major releases of Epstein-related files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act without identifying evidence sufficient for new U.S. federal or state indictments. Senior officials, including Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, publicly stated that correspondence, photographs, and investigative materials from the releases do not support additional prosecutions, consistent with earlier internal reviews. Congressional oversight hearings and document releases have continued into mid-2026, yet they have produced no charging announcements tied to the disclosures. Limited foreign arrests and investigations have occurred outside U.S. jurisdiction, while domestic efforts remain focused on transparency and committee review rather than criminal cases. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, the absence of qualifying charges since the December 2025 releases underpins trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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