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Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

icon for Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

7% chance
Polymarket

$14,837 Vol.

7% chance
Polymarket

$14,837 Vol.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Trump’s early 2026 vetoes of two narrow domestic measures prompted House override votes that fell well short of the required two-thirds threshold, reflecting sustained Republican majorities and limited cross-party support. Subsequent legislative friction, including disputes over a bipartisan housing bill and war-powers resolutions, has produced no additional vetoed measures sent to the White House in a form likely to attract the supermajorities needed for override. With unified Republican control of Congress and midterm pressures favoring party cohesion, traders see little prospect of the procedural conditions or vote margins that historically enable successful overrides.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,837
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Trump’s early 2026 vetoes of two narrow domestic measures prompted House override votes that fell well short of the required two-thirds threshold, reflecting sustained Republican majorities and limited cross-party support. Subsequent legislative friction, including disputes over a bipartisan housing bill and war-powers resolutions, has produced no additional vetoed measures sent to the White House in a form likely to attract the supermajorities needed for override. With unified Republican control of Congress and midterm pressures favoring party cohesion, traders see little prospect of the procedural conditions or vote margins that historically enable successful overrides.

This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,837
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
This market will resolve to Yes if the US Congress overrides a presidential veto by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Passage of a veto override by only one Chamber of Congress shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Congress override any veto in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 7% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 7¢, the market collectively assigns a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Congress override any veto in 2026?" has generated $14.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Congress override any veto in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Congress override any veto in 2026?" is 7% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Congress override any veto in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.