**The House passage of the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 created brief momentum, but Senate inaction and procedural hurdles have kept odds heavily against permanent DST taking effect in 2026.** The bill advanced on a 308-117 bipartisan vote and reached the Senate Commerce Committee on July 15, yet Senate Majority Leader John Thune has not committed to a floor vote, citing uncertainty over securing the necessary support. With the Senate in recess until mid-September and opposition from some members, including Sen. Tom Cotton, the measure faces a narrow window before the scheduled Nov. 1, 2026, clock change. President Trump has publicly backed the legislation, but no companion Senate bill has advanced and historical patterns show repeated stalling despite state-level resolutions in 19 states. Traders therefore assign an 87.5% probability to “No,” reflecting the gap between House action and full enactment under current timelines and Senate dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated12% chance
$19,946 Vol.
$19,946 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
12% chance
$19,946 Vol.
$19,946 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.**The House passage of the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 created brief momentum, but Senate inaction and procedural hurdles have kept odds heavily against permanent DST taking effect in 2026.** The bill advanced on a 308-117 bipartisan vote and reached the Senate Commerce Committee on July 15, yet Senate Majority Leader John Thune has not committed to a floor vote, citing uncertainty over securing the necessary support. With the Senate in recess until mid-September and opposition from some members, including Sen. Tom Cotton, the measure faces a narrow window before the scheduled Nov. 1, 2026, clock change. President Trump has publicly backed the legislation, but no companion Senate bill has advanced and historical patterns show repeated stalling despite state-level resolutions in 19 states. Traders therefore assign an 87.5% probability to “No,” reflecting the gap between House action and full enactment under current timelines and Senate dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Volume
$19,946End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.**The House passage of the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 created brief momentum, but Senate inaction and procedural hurdles have kept odds heavily against permanent DST taking effect in 2026.** The bill advanced on a 308-117 bipartisan vote and reached the Senate Commerce Committee on July 15, yet Senate Majority Leader John Thune has not committed to a floor vote, citing uncertainty over securing the necessary support. With the Senate in recess until mid-September and opposition from some members, including Sen. Tom Cotton, the measure faces a narrow window before the scheduled Nov. 1, 2026, clock change. President Trump has publicly backed the legislation, but no companion Senate bill has advanced and historical patterns show repeated stalling despite state-level resolutions in 19 states. Traders therefore assign an 87.5% probability to “No,” reflecting the gap between House action and full enactment under current timelines and Senate dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$19,946End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The House passage of the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 created brief momentum, but Senate inaction and procedural hurdles have kept odds heavily against permanent DST taking effect in 2026.** The bill advanced on a 308-117 bipartisan vote and reached the Senate Commerce Committee on July 15, yet Senate Majority Leader John Thune has not committed to a floor vote, citing uncertainty over securing the necessary support. With the Senate in recess until mid-September and opposition from some members, including Sen. Tom Cotton, the measure faces a narrow window before the scheduled Nov. 1, 2026, clock change. President Trump has publicly backed the legislation, but no companion Senate bill has advanced and historical patterns show repeated stalling despite state-level resolutions in 19 states. Traders therefore assign an 87.5% probability to “No,” reflecting the gap between House action and full enactment under current timelines and Senate dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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