Riley Moore, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district due to the area’s consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in its R+20 partisan voting index, and his strong 2024 performance. Moore ran unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $1.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi’s roughly $134,000 as of June 2026. Parsi narrowly won his three-way primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moore reflects these fundamentals, with limited developments since the primaries leaving the outlook stable. Late shifts remain possible only through an unforeseen national wave, candidate health issue, or major scandal before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWV-02 House Election Winner
WV-02 House Election Winner
$100,014 Vol.
$100,014 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Riley Moore (R)
97%
Ace Parsi (D)
3%
$100,014 Vol.
$100,014 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Riley Moore (R)
$71,268 Vol.
97%
Ace Parsi (D)
$28,747 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district due to the area’s consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in its R+20 partisan voting index, and his strong 2024 performance. Moore ran unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $1.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi’s roughly $134,000 as of June 2026. Parsi narrowly won his three-way primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moore reflects these fundamentals, with limited developments since the primaries leaving the outlook stable. Late shifts remain possible only through an unforeseen national wave, candidate health issue, or major scandal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$100,014End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Riley Moore, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district due to the area’s consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in its R+20 partisan voting index, and his strong 2024 performance. Moore ran unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $1.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi’s roughly $134,000 as of June 2026. Parsi narrowly won his three-way primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moore reflects these fundamentals, with limited developments since the primaries leaving the outlook stable. Late shifts remain possible only through an unforeseen national wave, candidate health issue, or major scandal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$100,014End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Riley Moore, the Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district due to the area’s consistent Republican voting patterns, reflected in its R+20 partisan voting index, and his strong 2024 performance. Moore ran unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage, with over $1.3 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Ace Parsi’s roughly $134,000 as of June 2026. Parsi narrowly won his three-way primary but faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moore reflects these fundamentals, with limited developments since the primaries leaving the outlook stable. Late shifts remain possible only through an unforeseen national wave, candidate health issue, or major scandal before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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