The closely matched trader probabilities around 190,000–230,000 total votes in Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest reflect the race’s limited general-election competitiveness following Harriet Hageman’s decisive Republican primary victory and James Byrd’s Democratic nomination. With the seat rated solidly Republican and Democrats historically showing low participation rates, the market implies little catalyst for unusually high mobilization. Turnout expectations align with recent midterm patterns—198,000 ballots cast in 2022—adjusted for typical drop-off from presidential-year levels near 270,000. Key variables include rural voter engagement, weather on Election Day, and the absence of high-profile ballot measures or competitive statewide races that could drive broader participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated190K-210K 56%
210K-230K 28%
250K+ 6%
170K-190K 5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
3%
150K-170K
4%
170K-190K
5%
190K-210K
56%
210K-230K
28%
230K-250K
4%
250K+
6%
190K-210K 56%
210K-230K 28%
250K+ 6%
170K-190K 5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<150K
$246 Vol.
3%
150K-170K
$87 Vol.
4%
170K-190K
$161 Vol.
5%
190K-210K
$2,234 Vol.
56%
210K-230K
$313 Vol.
28%
230K-250K
$109 Vol.
4%
250K+
$572 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader probabilities around 190,000–230,000 total votes in Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest reflect the race’s limited general-election competitiveness following Harriet Hageman’s decisive Republican primary victory and James Byrd’s Democratic nomination. With the seat rated solidly Republican and Democrats historically showing low participation rates, the market implies little catalyst for unusually high mobilization. Turnout expectations align with recent midterm patterns—198,000 ballots cast in 2022—adjusted for typical drop-off from presidential-year levels near 270,000. Key variables include rural voter engagement, weather on Election Day, and the absence of high-profile ballot measures or competitive statewide races that could drive broader participation.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Volume
$3,723End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched trader probabilities around 190,000–230,000 total votes in Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest reflect the race’s limited general-election competitiveness following Harriet Hageman’s decisive Republican primary victory and James Byrd’s Democratic nomination. With the seat rated solidly Republican and Democrats historically showing low participation rates, the market implies little catalyst for unusually high mobilization. Turnout expectations align with recent midterm patterns—198,000 ballots cast in 2022—adjusted for typical drop-off from presidential-year levels near 270,000. Key variables include rural voter engagement, weather on Election Day, and the absence of high-profile ballot measures or competitive statewide races that could drive broader participation.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,723End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader probabilities around 190,000–230,000 total votes in Wyoming’s November 3 Senate contest reflect the race’s limited general-election competitiveness following Harriet Hageman’s decisive Republican primary victory and James Byrd’s Democratic nomination. With the seat rated solidly Republican and Democrats historically showing low participation rates, the market implies little catalyst for unusually high mobilization. Turnout expectations align with recent midterm patterns—198,000 ballots cast in 2022—adjusted for typical drop-off from presidential-year levels near 270,000. Key variables include rural voter engagement, weather on Election Day, and the absence of high-profile ballot measures or competitive statewide races that could drive broader participation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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