Incumbent Jahana Hayes maintains a commanding lead in the CT-05 race due to the district’s Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand, and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Democratic. Chris Shea, the Republican nominee who won his August primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the seat’s history of Democratic control since 2008. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, a major scandal or health event affecting Hayes, or unusually strong Shea performance in the final weeks that narrows the margin below historical benchmarks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Jahana Hayes (D)
95%
Chris Shea (R)
5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Jahana Hayes (D)
$5,339 Vol.
95%
Chris Shea (R)
$3,497 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jahana Hayes maintains a commanding lead in the CT-05 race due to the district’s Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand, and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Democratic. Chris Shea, the Republican nominee who won his August primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the seat’s history of Democratic control since 2008. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, a major scandal or health event affecting Hayes, or unusually strong Shea performance in the final weeks that narrows the margin below historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$8,836Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jahana Hayes maintains a commanding lead in the CT-05 race due to the district’s Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand, and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Democratic. Chris Shea, the Republican nominee who won his August primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the seat’s history of Democratic control since 2008. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, a major scandal or health event affecting Hayes, or unusually strong Shea performance in the final weeks that narrows the margin below historical benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,836Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jahana Hayes maintains a commanding lead in the CT-05 race due to the district’s Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge exceeding $1 million in cash on hand, and consistent forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Democratic. Chris Shea, the Republican nominee who won his August primary by a wide margin, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and the seat’s history of Democratic control since 2008. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could arise from a national Republican surge altering turnout patterns, a major scandal or health event affecting Hayes, or unusually strong Shea performance in the final weeks that narrows the margin below historical benchmarks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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