Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in the IA-01 House market due to the district’s history as a narrow-margin battleground, where incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks prevailed by under 1,000 votes in 2024. Recent polling shows Bohannan ahead by several points among likely voters, while both candidates have raised comparable sums near $7 million. The race carries toss-up or lean-D ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with an October 20 debate set and an independent candidate on the ballot. Midterm timing and national conditions have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic challenger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$30,494 Vol.
$30,494 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
75%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
25%
$30,494 Vol.
$30,494 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Christina Bohannan (D)
$19,480 Vol.
75%
Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
$11,015 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in the IA-01 House market due to the district’s history as a narrow-margin battleground, where incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks prevailed by under 1,000 votes in 2024. Recent polling shows Bohannan ahead by several points among likely voters, while both candidates have raised comparable sums near $7 million. The race carries toss-up or lean-D ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with an October 20 debate set and an independent candidate on the ballot. Midterm timing and national conditions have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Volume
$30,494Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in the IA-01 House market due to the district’s history as a narrow-margin battleground, where incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks prevailed by under 1,000 votes in 2024. Recent polling shows Bohannan ahead by several points among likely voters, while both candidates have raised comparable sums near $7 million. The race carries toss-up or lean-D ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with an October 20 debate set and an independent candidate on the ballot. Midterm timing and national conditions have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,494Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Christina Bohannan holds a strong lead in the IA-01 House market due to the district’s history as a narrow-margin battleground, where incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks prevailed by under 1,000 votes in 2024. Recent polling shows Bohannan ahead by several points among likely voters, while both candidates have raised comparable sums near $7 million. The race carries toss-up or lean-D ratings from major forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with an October 20 debate set and an independent candidate on the ballot. Midterm timing and national conditions have shifted trader consensus toward the Democratic challenger.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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