The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour54,0–54,9 100.0%
<51,0 <1%
51,0–51,9 <1%
52,0–52,9 <1%
$46,913 Vol.
$46,913 Vol.
1 sept. 2026
<51,0
Non
51,0–51,9
Non
52,0–52,9
Non
53,0–53,9
Non
54,0–54,9
Oui
55,0–55,9
Non
56,0–56,9
Non
57,0–57,9
Non
58,0–58,9
Non
59,0+
Non
54,0–54,9 100.0%
<51,0 <1%
51,0–51,9 <1%
52,0–52,9 <1%
$46,913 Vol.
$46,913 Vol.
1 sept. 2026
<51,0
$1,304 Vol.
Non
51,0–51,9
$1,179 Vol.
Non
52,0–52,9
$1,600 Vol.
Non
53,0–53,9
$1,447 Vol.
Non
54,0–54,9
$9,755 Vol.
Oui
55,0–55,9
$25,131 Vol.
Non
56,0–56,9
$2,169 Vol.
Non
57,0–57,9
$1,314 Vol.
Non
58,0–58,9
$2,022 Vol.
Non
59,0+
$993 Vol.
Non
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$46,913Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$46,913Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The August 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI print of 54.6, released September 1, anchored near-certain trader consensus in the 54.0–54.9 bracket by landing squarely inside it after July’s 55.6 expansion high. Moderation in new orders to 53.7 and employment to 51.2, alongside stable production at 58.3 and an unchanged Prices Index of 71.1, reflected fading tariff front-loading and lingering supply-chain strains from the Middle East conflict, while still marking the eighth straight month above the 50 expansion threshold. Elevated supplier deliveries at 59.3 and a drop in backlogs to 51.8 signaled persistent cost pressures and softer momentum without tipping into contraction territory. This outcome aligned with the post-July cooling trajectory priced into markets ahead of the release, though any material upward revision or stronger September data could reopen lower-probability brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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