Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Likely Republican by forecasters and where the party has prevailed in recent cycles. His primary victory with over 90% of the vote and consistent engagement through listening sessions have reinforced his standing ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, a Rochester teacher who won his primary, has boosted visibility with extensive town halls, union endorsements, and support from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson, narrowing the gap in fundraising. These efforts have drawn national Democratic attention to the race, yet the district's partisan baseline and Finstad's institutional advantages sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMN-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MN-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$42,354 Vol.
$42,354 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
79%
Jake Johnson (D)
20%
$42,354 Vol.
$42,354 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Brad Finstad (R)
$15,972 Vol.
79%
Jake Johnson (D)
$26,382 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Likely Republican by forecasters and where the party has prevailed in recent cycles. His primary victory with over 90% of the vote and consistent engagement through listening sessions have reinforced his standing ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, a Rochester teacher who won his primary, has boosted visibility with extensive town halls, union endorsements, and support from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson, narrowing the gap in fundraising. These efforts have drawn national Democratic attention to the race, yet the district's partisan baseline and Finstad's institutional advantages sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$42,354Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Likely Republican by forecasters and where the party has prevailed in recent cycles. His primary victory with over 90% of the vote and consistent engagement through listening sessions have reinforced his standing ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, a Rochester teacher who won his primary, has boosted visibility with extensive town halls, union endorsements, and support from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson, narrowing the gap in fundraising. These efforts have drawn national Democratic attention to the race, yet the district's partisan baseline and Finstad's institutional advantages sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,354Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a strong position in Minnesota's 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Likely Republican by forecasters and where the party has prevailed in recent cycles. His primary victory with over 90% of the vote and consistent engagement through listening sessions have reinforced his standing ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson, a Rochester teacher who won his primary, has boosted visibility with extensive town halls, union endorsements, and support from former GOP Governor Arne Carlson, narrowing the gap in fundraising. These efforts have drawn national Democratic attention to the race, yet the district's partisan baseline and Finstad's institutional advantages sustain the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes