Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Nevada's 3rd congressional district due to her established record in a district rated Lean Democratic by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Lee secured her June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote and maintains strong cash reserves after raising over $4 million. The Las Vegas-area seat's modest Democratic lean, combined with Lee's multiple reelection victories in competitive cycles, supports the implied probability. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a district last won by a Republican in 2014. A late national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or significant campaign developments could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSusie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
7%
Susie Lee (D)
94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Susie Lee holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Nevada's 3rd congressional district due to her established record in a district rated Lean Democratic by forecasters including Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. Lee secured her June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote and maintains strong cash reserves after raising over $4 million. The Las Vegas-area seat's modest Democratic lean, combined with Lee's multiple reelection victories in competitive cycles, supports the implied probability. Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds in a district last won by a Republican in 2014. A late national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or significant campaign developments could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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