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Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung

Wu Hsiu-hua 87%

Chen Ying 15%

Li Wu Ying-chih <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Wu Hsiu-hua 87%

Chen Ying 15%

Li Wu Ying-chih <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua

Wu Hsiu-hua

$3,975 Vol.

87%

icon for Chen Ying

Chen Ying

$2,568 Vol.

15%

icon for Li Wu Ying-chih

Li Wu Ying-chih

$1,124 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 86.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election. This positioning reflects Taitung’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in a county the DPP has never won, combined with Wu’s institutional role and the party’s early December 2025 nomination to replace term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The DPP’s October 2025 selection of legislator Chen Ying, who holds an indigenous Puyuma background that could appeal to roughly 25% of voters, sits at 14.5% amid unified party support after a potential rival bowed out in July 2026. An independent candidate registers negligible odds. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts since candidate registration opened in late August have kept trader consensus stable on thin volume ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,668
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 86.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election. This positioning reflects Taitung’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in a county the DPP has never won, combined with Wu’s institutional role and the party’s early December 2025 nomination to replace term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The DPP’s October 2025 selection of legislator Chen Ying, who holds an indigenous Puyuma background that could appeal to roughly 25% of voters, sits at 14.5% amid unified party support after a potential rival bowed out in July 2026. An independent candidate registers negligible odds. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts since candidate registration opened in late August have kept trader consensus stable on thin volume ahead of the vote.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,668
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Chou Chun-mi remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Pingtung ?

Chou Chun-mi remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Pingtung ?

87%
Oui
icon for Tsai Yi-yu va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi ?

Tsai Yi-yu va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Chiayi ?

91%
Oui
icon for Chen Su-yueh va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua ?

Chen Su-yueh va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection du magistrat du comté de Changhua ?

80%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Wu Hsiu-hua » à 87%, suivi de « Chen Ying » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 87¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung » est « Wu Hsiu-hua » à 87%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Chen Ying » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du magistrat du comté de Taitung » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.