Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Texas's 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Republican partisan lean reflected in 2024 presidential results exceeding 40 points. Moran secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince advanced through her May runoff amid limited resources. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's East Texas voter base and historical margins. Trader consensus at 96% for Moran incorporates these structural factors. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen candidate issues before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$59,074 Vol.
$59,074 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Nathaniel Moran (R)
96%
Yolanda Prince (D)
2%
$59,074 Vol.
$59,074 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Nathaniel Moran (R)
$5,321 Vol.
96%
Yolanda Prince (D)
$53,753 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Texas's 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Republican partisan lean reflected in 2024 presidential results exceeding 40 points. Moran secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince advanced through her May runoff amid limited resources. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's East Texas voter base and historical margins. Trader consensus at 96% for Moran incorporates these structural factors. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen candidate issues before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$59,074Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Texas's 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Republican partisan lean reflected in 2024 presidential results exceeding 40 points. Moran secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince advanced through her May runoff amid limited resources. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's East Texas voter base and historical margins. Trader consensus at 96% for Moran incorporates these structural factors. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen candidate issues before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$59,074Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Nathaniel Moran holds a commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Texas's 1st congressional district, a seat with a strong Republican partisan lean reflected in 2024 presidential results exceeding 40 points. Moran secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March primary, while Democrat Yolanda Prince advanced through her May runoff amid limited resources. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's East Texas voter base and historical margins. Trader consensus at 96% for Moran incorporates these structural factors. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen candidate issues before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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