The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 2nd congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Steve Toth secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles, combined with limited competitive history, aligns with trader consensus. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or unforeseen candidate-specific developments to overcome the structural partisan margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$23,429 Vol.
$23,429 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
7%
$23,429 Vol.
$23,429 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$11,629 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$11,800 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 2nd congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Steve Toth secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles, combined with limited competitive history, aligns with trader consensus. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or unforeseen candidate-specific developments to overcome the structural partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$23,429Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 2nd congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Steve Toth secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles, combined with limited competitive history, aligns with trader consensus. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or unforeseen candidate-specific developments to overcome the structural partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,429Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 2nd congressional district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and encompassing northern and northeastern Houston suburbs, underpins the 92.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Steve Toth secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary, while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles, combined with limited competitive history, aligns with trader consensus. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing or unforeseen candidate-specific developments to overcome the structural partisan margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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