**Traders see Musk’s baseline cadence of roughly 20–25 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day as the dominant factor locking in the 160-179 bracket at 68.5% implied probability.** Recent shorter windows have settled in the 40-64 range during quieter stretches, yet the full August 25–September 1 period has already accumulated 111 tracked posts through August 30, keeping the higher band in play. With one day remaining, moderate activity on August 31—short commentary and reposts on AI tools, SpaceX updates, and platform topics—has sustained momentum without the surge that would push totals into the 180s or above. The absence of major product launches, earnings, or political flashpoints has kept volatility low, aligning trader consensus with historical patterns of steady rather than extreme weekly output.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui160-179 68%
140-159 19.7%
180-199 11%
200-219 1.1%
$1,840,878 Vol.
$1,840,878 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
140-159
20%
160-179
68%
180-199
11%
200-219
1%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 68%
140-159 19.7%
180-199 11%
200-219 1.1%
$1,840,878 Vol.
$1,840,878 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
140-159
$169,389 Vol.
20%
160-179
$93,089 Vol.
68%
180-199
$98,196 Vol.
11%
200-219
$89,344 Vol.
1%
220-239
$81,948 Vol.
1%
240-259
$74,461 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$103,159 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$67,409 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$60,275 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$49,383 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$41,936 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$37,117 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$42,676 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$38,920 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$22,273 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$19,812 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$22,857 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$26,613 Vol.
<1%
500+
$48,802 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders see Musk’s baseline cadence of roughly 20–25 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day as the dominant factor locking in the 160-179 bracket at 68.5% implied probability.** Recent shorter windows have settled in the 40-64 range during quieter stretches, yet the full August 25–September 1 period has already accumulated 111 tracked posts through August 30, keeping the higher band in play. With one day remaining, moderate activity on August 31—short commentary and reposts on AI tools, SpaceX updates, and platform topics—has sustained momentum without the surge that would push totals into the 180s or above. The absence of major product launches, earnings, or political flashpoints has kept volatility low, aligning trader consensus with historical patterns of steady rather than extreme weekly output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,840,878Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders see Musk’s baseline cadence of roughly 20–25 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day as the dominant factor locking in the 160-179 bracket at 68.5% implied probability.** Recent shorter windows have settled in the 40-64 range during quieter stretches, yet the full August 25–September 1 period has already accumulated 111 tracked posts through August 30, keeping the higher band in play. With one day remaining, moderate activity on August 31—short commentary and reposts on AI tools, SpaceX updates, and platform topics—has sustained momentum without the surge that would push totals into the 180s or above. The absence of major product launches, earnings, or political flashpoints has kept volatility low, aligning trader consensus with historical patterns of steady rather than extreme weekly output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,840,878Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders see Musk’s baseline cadence of roughly 20–25 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts per day as the dominant factor locking in the 160-179 bracket at 68.5% implied probability.** Recent shorter windows have settled in the 40-64 range during quieter stretches, yet the full August 25–September 1 period has already accumulated 111 tracked posts through August 30, keeping the higher band in play. With one day remaining, moderate activity on August 31—short commentary and reposts on AI tools, SpaceX updates, and platform topics—has sustained momentum without the surge that would push totals into the 180s or above. The absence of major product launches, earnings, or political flashpoints has kept volatility low, aligning trader consensus with historical patterns of steady rather than extreme weekly output.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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