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icon for Illinois Senate Election: Turnout
Politik·Jumlah Pemilih

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Illinois Senate Election: Turnout
Politik·Jumlah Pemilih

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

4.25M-4.5M 38%

4M-4.25M 36%

4.5M-4.75M 15%

3.75M-4M 11%

Polymarket
BARU

4.25M-4.5M 38%

4M-4.25M 36%

4.5M-4.75M 15%

3.75M-4M 11%

Polymarket
BARU

<3.25M

$632 Vol.

4%

3.25M-3.5M

$1,561 Vol.

1%

3.5M-3.75M

$505 Vol.

5%

3.75M-4M

$422 Vol.

11%

4M-4.25M

$1,969 Vol.

36%

4.25M-4.5M

$1,733 Vol.

38%

4.5M-4.75M

$1,635 Vol.

15%

4.75M+

$880 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Democratic primary participation in Illinois surged nearly 50% above 2022 levels, reaching about 1.28 million ballots amid competitive Senate and House contests, which traders view as a signal of stronger base mobilization heading into the November general election. This enthusiasm, linked to national political dynamics, contrasts with notably lower Republican primary turnout and aligns with the market's clustering around 4M-4.5M total votes. Historical midterm patterns, including 4.14 million ballots cast in 2022, provide the baseline, while Republican efforts to lift downstate participation and Democratic focus on suburban and urban engagement introduce variability. The close pricing between the two leading brackets reflects uncertainty over whether these factors will push overall turnout modestly above or below recent midterms, with early voting access and registration trends as additional variables that could shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,337
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Democratic primary participation in Illinois surged nearly 50% above 2022 levels, reaching about 1.28 million ballots amid competitive Senate and House contests, which traders view as a signal of stronger base mobilization heading into the November general election. This enthusiasm, linked to national political dynamics, contrasts with notably lower Republican primary turnout and aligns with the market's clustering around 4M-4.5M total votes. Historical midterm patterns, including 4.14 million ballots cast in 2022, provide the baseline, while Republican efforts to lift downstate participation and Democratic focus on suburban and urban engagement introduce variability. The close pricing between the two leading brackets reflects uncertainty over whether these factors will push overall turnout modestly above or below recent midterms, with early voting access and registration trends as additional variables that could shift the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,337
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Illinois Senate Election: Turnout" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "4.25M-4.5M" di 38%, diikuti oleh "4M-4.25M" di 36%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 38¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Illinois Senate Election: Turnout" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 18, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Illinois Senate Election: Turnout," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Illinois Senate Election: Turnout" adalah "4.25M-4.5M" di 38%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "4M-4.25M" di 36%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Illinois Senate Election: Turnout" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.