Illinois voters head to the polls November 3 for an open U.S. Senate seat in a solidly Democratic state, with the race between Democrat Juliana Stratton and Republican Don Tracy rated safe for the former by multiple forecasters. This dynamic typically produces baseline midterm participation rather than the surge seen in tighter contests, anchoring trader expectations near recent historical totals. The March Democratic primary delivered notably higher turnout than 2022, signaling sustained engagement that could lift general election numbers, while broader national conditions and campaign spending patterns remain the main variables that could push totals into adjacent bins. No major late-breaking catalysts have yet altered the narrow spread between the leading ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIllinois Senate Election: Turnout
Illinois Senate Election: Turnout
4.25M-4.5M 38%
4M-4.25M 37%
4.5M-4.75M 14%
3.75M-4M 11%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<3.25M
3%
3.25M-3.5M
1%
3.5M-3.75M
5%
3.75M-4M
11%
4M-4.25M
37%
4.25M-4.5M
38%
4.5M-4.75M
14%
4.75M+
1%
4.25M-4.5M 38%
4M-4.25M 37%
4.5M-4.75M 14%
3.75M-4M 11%
BARU
BARU
Nov 3, 2026
<3.25M
$632 Vol.
3%
3.25M-3.5M
$1,561 Vol.
1%
3.5M-3.75M
$505 Vol.
5%
3.75M-4M
$422 Vol.
11%
4M-4.25M
$1,969 Vol.
37%
4.25M-4.5M
$1,733 Vol.
38%
4.5M-4.75M
$1,635 Vol.
14%
4.75M+
$880 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Illinois voters head to the polls November 3 for an open U.S. Senate seat in a solidly Democratic state, with the race between Democrat Juliana Stratton and Republican Don Tracy rated safe for the former by multiple forecasters. This dynamic typically produces baseline midterm participation rather than the surge seen in tighter contests, anchoring trader expectations near recent historical totals. The March Democratic primary delivered notably higher turnout than 2022, signaling sustained engagement that could lift general election numbers, while broader national conditions and campaign spending patterns remain the main variables that could push totals into adjacent bins. No major late-breaking catalysts have yet altered the narrow spread between the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Volume
$9,337Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Illinois voters head to the polls November 3 for an open U.S. Senate seat in a solidly Democratic state, with the race between Democrat Juliana Stratton and Republican Don Tracy rated safe for the former by multiple forecasters. This dynamic typically produces baseline midterm participation rather than the surge seen in tighter contests, anchoring trader expectations near recent historical totals. The March Democratic primary delivered notably higher turnout than 2022, signaling sustained engagement that could lift general election numbers, while broader national conditions and campaign spending patterns remain the main variables that could push totals into adjacent bins. No major late-breaking catalysts have yet altered the narrow spread between the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,337Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Illinois voters head to the polls November 3 for an open U.S. Senate seat in a solidly Democratic state, with the race between Democrat Juliana Stratton and Republican Don Tracy rated safe for the former by multiple forecasters. This dynamic typically produces baseline midterm participation rather than the surge seen in tighter contests, anchoring trader expectations near recent historical totals. The March Democratic primary delivered notably higher turnout than 2022, signaling sustained engagement that could lift general election numbers, while broader national conditions and campaign spending patterns remain the main variables that could push totals into adjacent bins. No major late-breaking catalysts have yet altered the narrow spread between the leading ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTerkait
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