**Strong July momentum at 55.6—the highest since May 2022—combined with consensus forecasts around 55.2–55.3 has anchored trader expectations for the August ISM Manufacturing PMI near 54.0–55.9.** Recent subindex gains in new orders (56.7) and production (58.5), plus employment returning to expansion (52.8) for the first time in over two years, reflect resilient demand and AI-related capital spending, though some moderation is anticipated after the sharp July acceleration. Geopolitical supply risks from Middle East tensions and tariff effects continue to support elevated supplier deliveries and prices paid, while broader economic data such as upcoming nonfarm payrolls and S&P Global flash readings introduce uncertainty around the exact print. With the two leading ranges essentially tied, markets price in a narrow band of continued expansion above 50 but acknowledge potential slippage from July’s peak amid seasonal adjustments and mixed leading indicators.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui54.0–54.9 32%
55.0–55.9 32%
53.0–53.9 12.4%
56.0–56.9 9.3%
$43,506 Vol.
$43,506 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<51.0
1%
51.0–51.9
3%
52.0–52.9
3%
53.0–53.9
12%
54.0–54.9
32%
55.0–55.9
32%
56.0–56.9
9%
57.0–57.9
1%
58.0–58.9
3%
59.0+
<1%
54.0–54.9 32%
55.0–55.9 32%
53.0–53.9 12.4%
56.0–56.9 9.3%
$43,506 Vol.
$43,506 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<51.0
$1,065 Vol.
1%
51.0–51.9
$1,020 Vol.
3%
52.0–52.9
$1,396 Vol.
3%
53.0–53.9
$1,286 Vol.
12%
54.0–54.9
$9,491 Vol.
32%
55.0–55.9
$24,756 Vol.
32%
56.0–56.9
$1,591 Vol.
9%
57.0–57.9
$1,085 Vol.
1%
58.0–58.9
$1,037 Vol.
3%
59.0+
$778 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Strong July momentum at 55.6—the highest since May 2022—combined with consensus forecasts around 55.2–55.3 has anchored trader expectations for the August ISM Manufacturing PMI near 54.0–55.9.** Recent subindex gains in new orders (56.7) and production (58.5), plus employment returning to expansion (52.8) for the first time in over two years, reflect resilient demand and AI-related capital spending, though some moderation is anticipated after the sharp July acceleration. Geopolitical supply risks from Middle East tensions and tariff effects continue to support elevated supplier deliveries and prices paid, while broader economic data such as upcoming nonfarm payrolls and S&P Global flash readings introduce uncertainty around the exact print. With the two leading ranges essentially tied, markets price in a narrow band of continued expansion above 50 but acknowledge potential slippage from July’s peak amid seasonal adjustments and mixed leading indicators.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$43,506Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Strong July momentum at 55.6—the highest since May 2022—combined with consensus forecasts around 55.2–55.3 has anchored trader expectations for the August ISM Manufacturing PMI near 54.0–55.9.** Recent subindex gains in new orders (56.7) and production (58.5), plus employment returning to expansion (52.8) for the first time in over two years, reflect resilient demand and AI-related capital spending, though some moderation is anticipated after the sharp July acceleration. Geopolitical supply risks from Middle East tensions and tariff effects continue to support elevated supplier deliveries and prices paid, while broader economic data such as upcoming nonfarm payrolls and S&P Global flash readings introduce uncertainty around the exact print. With the two leading ranges essentially tied, markets price in a narrow band of continued expansion above 50 but acknowledge potential slippage from July’s peak amid seasonal adjustments and mixed leading indicators.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$43,506Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong July momentum at 55.6—the highest since May 2022—combined with consensus forecasts around 55.2–55.3 has anchored trader expectations for the August ISM Manufacturing PMI near 54.0–55.9.** Recent subindex gains in new orders (56.7) and production (58.5), plus employment returning to expansion (52.8) for the first time in over two years, reflect resilient demand and AI-related capital spending, though some moderation is anticipated after the sharp July acceleration. Geopolitical supply risks from Middle East tensions and tariff effects continue to support elevated supplier deliveries and prices paid, while broader economic data such as upcoming nonfarm payrolls and S&P Global flash readings introduce uncertainty around the exact print. With the two leading ranges essentially tied, markets price in a narrow band of continued expansion above 50 but acknowledge potential slippage from July’s peak amid seasonal adjustments and mixed leading indicators.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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