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icon for Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place

Humberto Costa 56%

Mendonça Filho 27%

Marília Arraes 25.0%

Eduardo da Fonte 4.2%

Polymarket

$33,238 Vol.

Humberto Costa 56%

Mendonça Filho 27%

Marília Arraes 25.0%

Eduardo da Fonte 4.2%

Polymarket

$33,238 Vol.

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$10,747 Vol.

56%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$8,917 Vol.

27%

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$5,900 Vol.

21%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$1,702 Vol.

4%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$1,453 Vol.

1%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$806 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$834 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$494 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$490 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls show Marília Arraes maintaining a lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, leaving a tight contest for second between Humberto Costa and Mendonça Filho, with Eduardo da Fonte and Túlio Gadêlha also registering support in the low teens. Surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha place Costa and Mendonça within or near the margin of error for the remaining vacancy, reflecting high undecided and blank/null shares plus limited campaign momentum shifts. Upcoming debates and the October 4 vote could consolidate preferences or highlight alliances, sustaining the balanced trader pricing around these frontrunners while smaller candidates remain marginal.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,238
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls show Marília Arraes maintaining a lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, leaving a tight contest for second between Humberto Costa and Mendonça Filho, with Eduardo da Fonte and Túlio Gadêlha also registering support in the low teens. Surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and Datafolha place Costa and Mendonça within or near the margin of error for the remaining vacancy, reflecting high undecided and blank/null shares plus limited campaign momentum shifts. Upcoming debates and the October 4 vote could consolidate preferences or highlight alliances, sustaining the balanced trader pricing around these frontrunners while smaller candidates remain marginal.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,238
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

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Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?

76%
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Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

80%
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Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?

49%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Humberto Costa" di 56%, diikuti oleh "Mendonça Filho" di 27%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place" telah menghasilkan $33.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Humberto Costa" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Mendonça Filho" di 27%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.