Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting the state's consistent alignment with Bolsonarismo and the Liberal Party (PL). Recent Quaest polling shows him at 52% against Lula at 17%, consistent with Jair Bolsonaro's over 75% share there in 2022. A June supplementary gubernatorial election reinforced this base when the PL-backed candidate won decisively, allowing Flávio to associate his national bid with local momentum. Trader consensus prices this outcome near-certain given limited opposition organization and structural voter preferences in the North. Potential shifts could stem from late legal rulings on eligibility, major right-wing vote fragmentation, or national events altering turnout, though current evidence indicates narrow pathways for challengers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFlavio Bolsonaro 97.8%
Lula 2.0%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Lula
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.8%
Lula 2.0%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,571 Vol.
98%
Lula
$593 Vol.
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$424 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$560 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$417 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting the state's consistent alignment with Bolsonarismo and the Liberal Party (PL). Recent Quaest polling shows him at 52% against Lula at 17%, consistent with Jair Bolsonaro's over 75% share there in 2022. A June supplementary gubernatorial election reinforced this base when the PL-backed candidate won decisively, allowing Flávio to associate his national bid with local momentum. Trader consensus prices this outcome near-certain given limited opposition organization and structural voter preferences in the North. Potential shifts could stem from late legal rulings on eligibility, major right-wing vote fragmentation, or national events altering turnout, though current evidence indicates narrow pathways for challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$9,259Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting the state's consistent alignment with Bolsonarismo and the Liberal Party (PL). Recent Quaest polling shows him at 52% against Lula at 17%, consistent with Jair Bolsonaro's over 75% share there in 2022. A June supplementary gubernatorial election reinforced this base when the PL-backed candidate won decisively, allowing Flávio to associate his national bid with local momentum. Trader consensus prices this outcome near-certain given limited opposition organization and structural voter preferences in the North. Potential shifts could stem from late legal rulings on eligibility, major right-wing vote fragmentation, or national events altering turnout, though current evidence indicates narrow pathways for challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,259Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting the state's consistent alignment with Bolsonarismo and the Liberal Party (PL). Recent Quaest polling shows him at 52% against Lula at 17%, consistent with Jair Bolsonaro's over 75% share there in 2022. A June supplementary gubernatorial election reinforced this base when the PL-backed candidate won decisively, allowing Flávio to associate his national bid with local momentum. Trader consensus prices this outcome near-certain given limited opposition organization and structural voter preferences in the North. Potential shifts could stem from late legal rulings on eligibility, major right-wing vote fragmentation, or national events altering turnout, though current evidence indicates narrow pathways for challengers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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