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Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

Rafael Motta 36.1%

Zenaide Maia 26%

Styvenson Valentim 20.1%

Samanda de Lula 19%

Polymarket

$16,448 Vol.

Rafael Motta 36.1%

Zenaide Maia 26%

Styvenson Valentim 20.1%

Samanda de Lula 19%

Polymarket

$16,448 Vol.

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$1,492 Vol.

36%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$2,317 Vol.

26%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$1,487 Vol.

20%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$5,644 Vol.

19%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$534 Vol.

2%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$649 Vol.

1%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$629 Vol.

1%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$600 Vol.

1%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$479 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$487 Vol.

1%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$549 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$511 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).** Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,448
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from late August 2026 shows the Rio Grande do Norte Senate race for the two available seats remains fluid, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a clear edge for first place while the contest for second stays tightly contested among Zenaide Maia (PSD), Rafael Motta (PDT), Samanda de Lula (PT), and Coronel Hélio (PL).** Combined first-and-second-choice surveys place Valentim well ahead, yet second-preference support lifts Hélio notably, while Maia, Motta, and Samanda cluster within a few points amid 23–24% undecided or blank/null responses. Official campaigning began mid-August following party conventions that confirmed 13 candidates, with structural factors such as incumbency advantages, party coalitions, and voter willingness to split tickets keeping probabilities compressed. Late shifts in second-choice flows, turnout among undecided voters, or alliance adjustments before the October 4 vote could widen gaps among the main contenders for the remaining seat.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,448
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Terkait

icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

72%
icon for Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

33%
icon for Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

38%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rafael Motta" di 36%, diikuti oleh "Zenaide Maia" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 36¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" telah menghasilkan $16.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Rafael Motta" di 36%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 36% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Zenaide Maia" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.