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icon for Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place
Politik·Brasil

Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place
Politik·Brasil

Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place

Nicoletti 39.9%

Teresa Surita 32%

Helio Bolsonaro 19.3%

Helena da Asatur 5.7%

Polymarket

$54,132 Vol.

Nicoletti 39.9%

Teresa Surita 32%

Helio Bolsonaro 19.3%

Helena da Asatur 5.7%

Polymarket

$54,132 Vol.

icon for Nicoletti

Nicoletti

$11,698 Vol.

38%

icon for Teresa Surita

Teresa Surita

$22,756 Vol.

32%

icon for Helio Bolsonaro

Helio Bolsonaro

$9,387 Vol.

19%

icon for Helena da Asatur

Helena da Asatur

$3,255 Vol.

6%

icon for Chico Rodrigues

Chico Rodrigues

$1,713 Vol.

2%

icon for Bartô Macuxi

Bartô Macuxi

$457 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hilton Xavier

Hilton Xavier

$616 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hiperion de Oliveira

Hiperion de Oliveira

$687 Vol.

<1%

icon for Márcio Junqueira

Márcio Junqueira

$794 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Rocha

Mario Rocha

$702 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pastor Isamar

Pastor Isamar

$692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Regina Tio Ivo

Regina Tio Ivo

$476 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rogério Miranda

Rogério Miranda

$900 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling shows a fragmented field for Roraima’s two Senate seats, with Teresa Surita (MDB) and Nicoletti (PL) consistently leading but separated by small margins amid high undecided rates.** Surveys from Real Time Big Data (early September) and Quaest (late August) place Surita at 19–25% and Nicoletti at 17–20% in combined or first-vote scenarios, followed by Helena da Asatur (PSD), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helio Lopes (PL, listed as Helio Bolsonaro on the market). The two-vote system, low name recognition for most candidates, and roughly 67% spontaneous undecideds in earlier data keep the ordering fluid. Internal PL resource allocation favoring Nicoletti over Lopes, a court ruling barring Lopes from using the Bolsonaro surname on the ballot, and Flávio Bolsonaro’s campaign visit have shaped visibility, while local incumbency advantages for Surita and Rodrigues provide counterbalance. Late consolidation of undecided voters, turnout differences, or alliance signals ahead of the October 4 first round could reorder the top finishers and move the current trader consensus.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$54,132
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling shows a fragmented field for Roraima’s two Senate seats, with Teresa Surita (MDB) and Nicoletti (PL) consistently leading but separated by small margins amid high undecided rates.** Surveys from Real Time Big Data (early September) and Quaest (late August) place Surita at 19–25% and Nicoletti at 17–20% in combined or first-vote scenarios, followed by Helena da Asatur (PSD), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and Helio Lopes (PL, listed as Helio Bolsonaro on the market). The two-vote system, low name recognition for most candidates, and roughly 67% spontaneous undecideds in earlier data keep the ordering fluid. Internal PL resource allocation favoring Nicoletti over Lopes, a court ruling barring Lopes from using the Bolsonaro surname on the ballot, and Flávio Bolsonaro’s campaign visit have shaped visibility, while local incumbency advantages for Surita and Rodrigues provide counterbalance. Late consolidation of undecided voters, turnout differences, or alliance signals ahead of the October 4 first round could reorder the top finishers and move the current trader consensus.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$54,132
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

Will Nicoletti win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?

41%
icon for Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

53%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Roraima?

97%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Nicoletti" di 38%, diikuti oleh "Teresa Surita" di 32%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 38¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place" telah menghasilkan $54.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place" adalah "Nicoletti" di 38%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 38% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Teresa Surita" di 32%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.