Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 2.9%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%

Arthur Henrique
94%

Soldado Sampaio
3%

Farah Mesquita
2%

Clébio Genuíno
1%

Rosi Aires
1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 2.9%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%

Arthur Henrique
94%

Soldado Sampaio
3%

Farah Mesquita
2%

Clébio Genuíno
1%

Rosi Aires
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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