Recent releases and ongoing leaderboard shifts on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev benchmark drive the tight market-implied odds, with Chinese labs like MiniMax holding a narrow edge for third place behind OpenAI and Anthropic. MiniMax’s June M3 model and September open-sourcing of its Code CLI agent have highlighted strong agentic coding and frontend performance, while Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 continue closing gaps through iterative updates that excel in full-stack web tasks and multi-step reasoning. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 maintain top spots, but rapid Chinese model progress and potential November releases from Meta, DeepSeek, or Google create uncertainty in the third-through-fifth positions. Traders weigh these competitive dynamics against typical two-to-three-month release cycles and the benchmark’s emphasis on real-world agentic workflows.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiXiaomi 30.3%
OpenAI 15.3%
Alibaba 15%
Moonshot 14%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
Xiaomi
30%
OpenAI
15%
Alibaba
15%
Moonshot
14%
Anthropic
13%
Meta
13%
DeepSeek
10%
Z.ai
9%
SpaceXAI
8%
ByteDance
7%
Mistral
5%
MiniMax
4%
Thinky
4%
4%
Tencent
4%
Poolside
4%
Xiaomi 30.3%
OpenAI 15.3%
Alibaba 15%
Moonshot 14%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
Xiaomi
$38 Vol.
30%
OpenAI
$99 Vol.
15%
Alibaba
$38 Vol.
15%
Moonshot
$38 Vol.
14%
Anthropic
$38 Vol.
13%
Meta
$62 Vol.
13%
DeepSeek
$58 Vol.
10%
Z.ai
$185 Vol.
9%
SpaceXAI
$38 Vol.
8%
ByteDance
$38 Vol.
7%
Mistral
$366 Vol.
5%
MiniMax
$38 Vol.
4%
Thinky
$58 Vol.
4%
$51 Vol.
4%
Tencent
$38 Vol.
4%
Poolside
$58 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and ongoing leaderboard shifts on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev benchmark drive the tight market-implied odds, with Chinese labs like MiniMax holding a narrow edge for third place behind OpenAI and Anthropic. MiniMax’s June M3 model and September open-sourcing of its Code CLI agent have highlighted strong agentic coding and frontend performance, while Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 continue closing gaps through iterative updates that excel in full-stack web tasks and multi-step reasoning. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 maintain top spots, but rapid Chinese model progress and potential November releases from Meta, DeepSeek, or Google create uncertainty in the third-through-fifth positions. Traders weigh these competitive dynamics against typical two-to-three-month release cycles and the benchmark’s emphasis on real-world agentic workflows.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Volume
$1,237Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and ongoing leaderboard shifts on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev benchmark drive the tight market-implied odds, with Chinese labs like MiniMax holding a narrow edge for third place behind OpenAI and Anthropic. MiniMax’s June M3 model and September open-sourcing of its Code CLI agent have highlighted strong agentic coding and frontend performance, while Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 continue closing gaps through iterative updates that excel in full-stack web tasks and multi-step reasoning. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 maintain top spots, but rapid Chinese model progress and potential November releases from Meta, DeepSeek, or Google create uncertainty in the third-through-fifth positions. Traders weigh these competitive dynamics against typical two-to-three-month release cycles and the benchmark’s emphasis on real-world agentic workflows.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,237Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 8:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases and ongoing leaderboard shifts on the arena.ai Code Arena WebDev benchmark drive the tight market-implied odds, with Chinese labs like MiniMax holding a narrow edge for third place behind OpenAI and Anthropic. MiniMax’s June M3 model and September open-sourcing of its Code CLI agent have highlighted strong agentic coding and frontend performance, while Alibaba’s Qwen3.8 and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 continue closing gaps through iterative updates that excel in full-stack web tasks and multi-step reasoning. OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 maintain top spots, but rapid Chinese model progress and potential November releases from Meta, DeepSeek, or Google create uncertainty in the third-through-fifth positions. Traders weigh these competitive dynamics against typical two-to-three-month release cycles and the benchmark’s emphasis on real-world agentic workflows.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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