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icon for Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

Alexandre Guimarães 43%

Gaguim 41.1%

Eduardo Gomes 12.2%

Osvany Luz <1%

Polymarket

$35,311 Vol.

Alexandre Guimarães 43%

Gaguim 41.1%

Eduardo Gomes 12.2%

Osvany Luz <1%

Polymarket

$35,311 Vol.

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$16,709 Vol.

43%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$8,957 Vol.

41%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$1,490 Vol.

15%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$465 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$385 Vol.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$528 Vol.

1%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$4,488 Vol.

1%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$437 Vol.

1%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$400 Vol.

<1%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$396 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$345 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$392 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$319 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins shows Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) remain closely matched for the second seat in consolidated vote simulations. September surveys from Veritá and Paraná Pesquisas place Guimarães and Gaguim within the margin of error behind Gomes, with Eli Borges, Paulo Mourão, and others trailing further amid high undecided and null vote shares. The tight trader pricing between Guimarães and Gaguim reflects this persistent fragmentation and voter indecision less than three weeks before the October 4 election, where each ballot selects two candidates. Separation could emerge from final-week regional turnout shifts, additional polling releases, or last-minute campaign developments affecting the fragmented field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,311
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Tocantins shows Senator Eduardo Gomes (PL) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União) remain closely matched for the second seat in consolidated vote simulations. September surveys from Veritá and Paraná Pesquisas place Guimarães and Gaguim within the margin of error behind Gomes, with Eli Borges, Paulo Mourão, and others trailing further amid high undecided and null vote shares. The tight trader pricing between Guimarães and Gaguim reflects this persistent fragmentation and voter indecision less than three weeks before the October 4 election, where each ballot selects two candidates. Separation could emerge from final-week regional turnout shifts, additional polling releases, or last-minute campaign developments affecting the fragmented field.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,311
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Alexandre Guimarães" di 43%, diikuti oleh "Gaguim" di 41%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" telah menghasilkan $35.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Alexandre Guimarães" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Gaguim" di 41%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.