The open TX-23 seat, vacated after Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid ethics issues tied to a personal scandal, features Republican nominee Brandon Herrera, who advanced after leading the March primary and securing the nomination when Gonzales withdrew. Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright. The sprawling, majority-Hispanic border district has a Republican voting history that underpins nonpartisan ratings of Likely Republican from Cook, Sabato, and others. Trader pricing at roughly 70% Republican reflects this baseline lean plus Herrera’s primary strength and Trump endorsement, tempered by Democratic targeting, a recent poll showing a narrow gap, and local issues like the ongoing screwworm outbreak in the unrepresented district. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-23 House Election Winner
TX-23 House Election Winner
$39,503 Vol.
$39,503 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
31%
$39,503 Vol.
$39,503 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$23,126 Vol.
70%
Democratic Party
$16,377 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-23 seat, vacated after Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid ethics issues tied to a personal scandal, features Republican nominee Brandon Herrera, who advanced after leading the March primary and securing the nomination when Gonzales withdrew. Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright. The sprawling, majority-Hispanic border district has a Republican voting history that underpins nonpartisan ratings of Likely Republican from Cook, Sabato, and others. Trader pricing at roughly 70% Republican reflects this baseline lean plus Herrera’s primary strength and Trump endorsement, tempered by Democratic targeting, a recent poll showing a narrow gap, and local issues like the ongoing screwworm outbreak in the unrepresented district. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$39,503Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-23 seat, vacated after Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid ethics issues tied to a personal scandal, features Republican nominee Brandon Herrera, who advanced after leading the March primary and securing the nomination when Gonzales withdrew. Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright. The sprawling, majority-Hispanic border district has a Republican voting history that underpins nonpartisan ratings of Likely Republican from Cook, Sabato, and others. Trader pricing at roughly 70% Republican reflects this baseline lean plus Herrera’s primary strength and Trump endorsement, tempered by Democratic targeting, a recent poll showing a narrow gap, and local issues like the ongoing screwworm outbreak in the unrepresented district. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,503Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open TX-23 seat, vacated after Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 amid ethics issues tied to a personal scandal, features Republican nominee Brandon Herrera, who advanced after leading the March primary and securing the nomination when Gonzales withdrew. Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout won her primary outright. The sprawling, majority-Hispanic border district has a Republican voting history that underpins nonpartisan ratings of Likely Republican from Cook, Sabato, and others. Trader pricing at roughly 70% Republican reflects this baseline lean plus Herrera’s primary strength and Trump endorsement, tempered by Democratic targeting, a recent poll showing a narrow gap, and local issues like the ongoing screwworm outbreak in the unrepresented district. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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