Dave Min's position as incumbent in California's 47th congressional district, combined with the area's Democratic registration edge and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus on his general election victory. Min advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, outpacing Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux and other challengers while demonstrating stronger fundraising and name recognition in a district that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns. Le Roux's advancement as the top Republican reflects limited opposition fragmentation but faces structural headwinds in a seat with a partisan baseline favoring Democrats. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout surprises in November could still influence outcomes, though historical patterns and current indicators support the current trader pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
$14,137 Vol.
$14,137 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dave Min (D)
95%
Jenny Le Roux (R)
6%
$14,137 Vol.
$14,137 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dave Min (D)
$3,261 Vol.
95%
Jenny Le Roux (R)
$10,876 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dave Min's position as incumbent in California's 47th congressional district, combined with the area's Democratic registration edge and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus on his general election victory. Min advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, outpacing Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux and other challengers while demonstrating stronger fundraising and name recognition in a district that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns. Le Roux's advancement as the top Republican reflects limited opposition fragmentation but faces structural headwinds in a seat with a partisan baseline favoring Democrats. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout surprises in November could still influence outcomes, though historical patterns and current indicators support the current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,137Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dave Min's position as incumbent in California's 47th congressional district, combined with the area's Democratic registration edge and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus on his general election victory. Min advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, outpacing Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux and other challengers while demonstrating stronger fundraising and name recognition in a district that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns. Le Roux's advancement as the top Republican reflects limited opposition fragmentation but faces structural headwinds in a seat with a partisan baseline favoring Democrats. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout surprises in November could still influence outcomes, though historical patterns and current indicators support the current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,137Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Dave Min's position as incumbent in California's 47th congressional district, combined with the area's Democratic registration edge and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins the market's 94.5% consensus on his general election victory. Min advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary, outpacing Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux and other challengers while demonstrating stronger fundraising and name recognition in a district that leans Democratic based on recent voting patterns. Le Roux's advancement as the top Republican reflects limited opposition fragmentation but faces structural headwinds in a seat with a partisan baseline favoring Democrats. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout surprises in November could still influence outcomes, though historical patterns and current indicators support the current trader pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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