Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 House race because the district carries a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Likely Republican and its recent voting patterns. Elijah secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics concerns, positioning him as the nominee in a seat covering Seminole County and parts of Volusia. Bale Dalton, a retired Navy captain and former NASA official, won the Democratic primary the same day but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have maintained an edge. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on tariffs, household costs, and economic policy, yet these have not shifted the baseline advantage. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with no major late developments reported that would alter the current trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-07 House Election Winner
FL-07 House Election Winner
$25,114 Vol.
$25,114 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ryan Elijah (R)
68%
Bale Dalton (D)
33%
$25,114 Vol.
$25,114 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ryan Elijah (R)
$14,454 Vol.
68%
Bale Dalton (D)
$10,660 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 House race because the district carries a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Likely Republican and its recent voting patterns. Elijah secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics concerns, positioning him as the nominee in a seat covering Seminole County and parts of Volusia. Bale Dalton, a retired Navy captain and former NASA official, won the Democratic primary the same day but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have maintained an edge. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on tariffs, household costs, and economic policy, yet these have not shifted the baseline advantage. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with no major late developments reported that would alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$25,114Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 House race because the district carries a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Likely Republican and its recent voting patterns. Elijah secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics concerns, positioning him as the nominee in a seat covering Seminole County and parts of Volusia. Bale Dalton, a retired Navy captain and former NASA official, won the Democratic primary the same day but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have maintained an edge. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on tariffs, household costs, and economic policy, yet these have not shifted the baseline advantage. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with no major late developments reported that would alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,114Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Ryan Elijah holds a 67.5% implied probability in the FL-07 House race because the district carries a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Likely Republican and its recent voting patterns. Elijah secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics concerns, positioning him as the nominee in a seat covering Seminole County and parts of Volusia. Bale Dalton, a retired Navy captain and former NASA official, won the Democratic primary the same day but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have maintained an edge. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on tariffs, household costs, and economic policy, yet these have not shifted the baseline advantage. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with no major late developments reported that would alter the current trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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