Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 13th Congressional District as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term. The district’s even partisan voting index and recent Democratic tilt, reinforced by her 16-point 2024 victory, underpin the 94.5% implied probability traders assign to her win. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Budzinski’s primary dominance, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2.6 million, and consistent fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jeff Wilson further solidify the consensus. A late national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or major health development could narrow the gap, though scheduled events through the November 3 general election offer limited near-term volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-13 House Election Winner
IL-13 House Election Winner
$14,873 Vol.
$14,873 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Nikki Budzinski (D)
95%
Jeff Wilson (R)
6%
$14,873 Vol.
$14,873 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Nikki Budzinski (D)
$8,108 Vol.
95%
Jeff Wilson (R)
$6,766 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 13th Congressional District as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term. The district’s even partisan voting index and recent Democratic tilt, reinforced by her 16-point 2024 victory, underpin the 94.5% implied probability traders assign to her win. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Budzinski’s primary dominance, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2.6 million, and consistent fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jeff Wilson further solidify the consensus. A late national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or major health development could narrow the gap, though scheduled events through the November 3 general election offer limited near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$14,873Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 13th Congressional District as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term. The district’s even partisan voting index and recent Democratic tilt, reinforced by her 16-point 2024 victory, underpin the 94.5% implied probability traders assign to her win. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Budzinski’s primary dominance, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2.6 million, and consistent fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jeff Wilson further solidify the consensus. A late national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or major health development could narrow the gap, though scheduled events through the November 3 general election offer limited near-term volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,873Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Nikki Budzinski holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 13th Congressional District as the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term. The district’s even partisan voting index and recent Democratic tilt, reinforced by her 16-point 2024 victory, underpin the 94.5% implied probability traders assign to her win. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic. Budzinski’s primary dominance, substantial cash-on-hand advantage exceeding $2.6 million, and consistent fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jeff Wilson further solidify the consensus. A late national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or major health development could narrow the gap, though scheduled events through the November 3 general election offer limited near-term volatility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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